MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1FUL
    Raúl Jiménez
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    91%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1014
  2. 2CHE
    Nicolas Jackson
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -819
  3. 3CHE
    Pedro Neto
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    88%
    Books -450
    +6.5%MatchWiz -759
    ✓
  4. 4FUL
    Alex Iwobi
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    85%
    Books -350
    +7.1%MatchWiz -564
    0
  5. 5
    Harry Wilson
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -518
  6. 6FUL
    Rodrigo Muniz
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    83%
    Books -4000
    -14.8%MatchWiz -481
    0
  7. 7
    Alejandro Garnacho
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -452
  8. 8CHE
    João Pedro
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books -4000
    -17.4%MatchWiz -404
    ✓
  9. 9CHE
    Enzo Fernández
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books -900
    -10.8%MatchWiz -380
    0
  10. 10CHE
    Liam Delap
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -376
  11. 11
    Tyrique George
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -284
  12. 12CHE
    Cole Palmer
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    71%
    Books -3000
    -26.2%MatchWiz -239
    ✓
  13. 13CHE
    Marc Guiu
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -230
  14. 14FUL
    Ryan Sessegnon
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    68%
    Books -700
    -19.8%MatchWiz -210
    ✓
  15. 15CHE
    Moisés Caicedo
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    67%
    Books -250
    -4.0%MatchWiz -207
  16. 16FUL
    Emile Smith Rowe
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    67%
    Books -650
    -19.3%MatchWiz -206
    0
  17. 17FUL
    Andreas Pereira
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -189
  18. 18FUL
    Sander Berge
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books -105
    +8.1%MatchWiz -146
    ✓
  19. 19CHE
    Reece James
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books -280
    -16.5%MatchWiz -133
    ✓
  20. 20
    Filip Jørgensen
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -127
  21. 21
    Trevoh Chalobah
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -111
  22. 22
    Marc Cucurella
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -107
  23. 23
    Christopher Nkunku
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
  24. 24CHE
    Malo Gusto
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -170
    -15.2%MatchWiz +109
    0
  25. 25CHE
    Levi Colwill
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books -120
    -8.3%MatchWiz +116
    ✓
  26. 26CHE
    Jamie Gittens
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books -1250
    -47.1%MatchWiz +120
    0
  27. 27FUL
    Kenny Tete
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books -195
    -23.4%MatchWiz +134
    0
  28. 28FUL
    Kevin
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    42%
    Books -1500
    -51.3%MatchWiz +135
    0
  29. 29FUL
    Joachim Andersen
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +148
  30. 30
    Samuel Chukwueze
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +149
  31. 31
    Sasa Lukic
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +151
  32. 32FUL
    Jorge Cuenca
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books +165
    +2.0%MatchWiz +152
    0
  33. 33
    Benoît Badiashile
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +152
  34. 34CHE
    Wesley Fofana
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +152
  35. 35CHE
    Estêvão
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books -4000
    -58.6%MatchWiz +156
    0
  36. 36FUL
    Calvin Bassey
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books +110
    -10.8%MatchWiz +172
    ✓
  37. 37
    Issa Diop
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +181
  38. 38
    Andrey Santos
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +186
  39. 39CHE
    Josh Acheampong
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +193
    0
  40. 40CHE
    Romeo Lavia
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books -195
    -33.6%MatchWiz +207
    ✓
  41. 41FUL
    Tom Cairney
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +212
  42. 42CHE
    Jorrel Hato
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books -310
    -50.0%MatchWiz +291
    ✓
  43. 43FUL
    Josh King
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books -1250
    -70.9%MatchWiz +361
    ✓
  44. 44FUL
    Willian
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +393
  45. 45FUL
    Antonee Robinson
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books +115
    -31.7%MatchWiz +574
    ✓
  46. 46CHE
    Robert Sánchez
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  47. 47FUL
    Bernd Leno
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).