MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    94%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1610
  2. 2ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    91%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1068
  3. 3ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    90%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -903
  4. 4ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    86%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -609
  5. 5ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -566
  6. 6AVL
    Ollie Watkins
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    83%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -505
  7. 7ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -458
  8. 8
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -343
  9. 9ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -290
  10. 10
    Morgan Rogers
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -261
  11. 11
    Youri Tielemans
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -217
  12. 12ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -192
  13. 13AVL
    Emiliano Buendía
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -180
  14. 14ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -154
  15. 15
    Marcus Rashford
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -152
  16. 16ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -150
  17. 17AVL
    John McGinn
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -147
  18. 18ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -145
  19. 19ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -129
  20. 20AVL
    Marco Asensio
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -127
  21. 21ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -125
  22. 22ARS
    Ben White
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
  23. 23AVL
    Amadou Onana
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -122
  24. 24AVL
    Boubacar Kamara
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -118
  25. 25ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -110
  26. 26ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
  27. 27AVL
    Ian Maatsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
  28. 28ARS
    Jorginho
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +119
  29. 29ARS
    Noni Madueke
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +126
  30. 30AVL
    Matty Cash
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +132
  31. 31
    Evann Guessand
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +134
  32. 32
    Axel Disasi
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +143
  33. 33ARS
    William Saliba
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +145
  34. 34ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +148
  35. 35ARS
    Ezri Konsa
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +210
  36. 36AVL
    Victor Lindelöf
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +214
  37. 37AVL
    Pau Torres
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +227
  38. 38
    Andrés García
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +235
  39. 39AVL
    Tyrone Mings
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +246
  40. 40ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +248
  41. 41ARS
    Myles Lewis-Skelly
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +248
  42. 42
    Donyell Malen
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +269
  43. 43AVL
    Ross Barkley
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +287
  44. 44ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +297
  45. 45
    Jadon Sancho
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +299
  46. 46
    Harvey Elliott
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +320
  47. 47
    Lucas Digne
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +668
  48. 48AVL
    Marco Bizot
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  49. 49ARS
    David Raya
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  50. 50AVL
    Emiliano Martínez
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  51. 51AVL
    Robin Olsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).