MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 4+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 4+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +216
  2. 2ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +328
  3. 3ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +396
  4. 4ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +638
  5. 5ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +702
  6. 6AVL
    Ollie Watkins
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +821
  7. 7ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +940
  8. 8
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1459
  9. 9ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1928
  10. 10
    Morgan Rogers
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2310
  11. 11
    Youri Tielemans
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3237
  12. 12ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4100
  13. 13AVL
    Emiliano Buendía
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4703
  14. 14ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +6544
  15. 15
    Marcus Rashford
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +6698
  16. 16ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +6939
  17. 17AVL
    John McGinn
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +7269
  18. 18ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +7425
  19. 19ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9723
  20. 20AVL
    Marco Asensio
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  21. 21ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  22. 22ARS
    Ben White
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  23. 23AVL
    Amadou Onana
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  24. 24AVL
    Boubacar Kamara
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  25. 25ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  26. 26ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  27. 27AVL
    Ian Maatsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  28. 28ARS
    Jorginho
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  29. 29ARS
    Noni Madueke
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  30. 30AVL
    Matty Cash
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  31. 31
    Evann Guessand
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  32. 32
    Axel Disasi
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  33. 33ARS
    William Saliba
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  34. 34ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  35. 35AVL
    Victor Lindelöf
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  36. 36ARS
    Ezri Konsa
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  37. 37AVL
    Pau Torres
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  38. 38
    Andrés García
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  39. 39AVL
    Tyrone Mings
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  40. 40ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  41. 41ARS
    Myles Lewis-Skelly
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  42. 42AVL
    Ross Barkley
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  43. 43
    Donyell Malen
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  44. 44ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  45. 45
    Jadon Sancho
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  46. 46
    Harvey Elliott
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  47. 47AVL
    Marco Bizot
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  48. 48AVL
    Emiliano Martínez
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  49. 49
    Lucas Digne
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  50. 50AVL
    Robin Olsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  51. 51ARS
    David Raya
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).