La Liga 1+ Goals Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Hugo DuroTue 3:00 PM18%Books +210-15.3%MatchWiz +455 - 2
Pablo FornalsTue 3:00 PM15%Books +550-1.2%MatchWiz +546 - 3Luis RiojaTue 3:00 PM10%Books +750-6.4%MatchWiz +939
- 4Marc RocaTue 3:00 PM9%Books +800-2.4%MatchWiz +1007
- 5Nelson DeossaTue 3:00 PM7%Books +600-9.3%MatchWiz +1395
- 6André AlmeidaTue 3:00 PM6%Books +1200-4.2%MatchWiz +1695
- 7PepeluTue 3:00 PM5%Books +950-6.0%MatchWiz +1753
- 8Pablo GarcíaTue 3:00 PM5%Books +420-15.3%MatchWiz +2041
- 9Diego LlorenteTue 3:00 PM4%Books +2500+0.2%MatchWiz +2390
- 10Mouctar DiakhabyTue 3:00 PM4%Books +1600-4.9%MatchWiz +2527
- 11Marc BartraTue 3:00 PM4%Books +1900-4.2%MatchWiz +2560
- 12Valentín GómezTue 3:00 PM3%Books +1900-2.6%MatchWiz +3326
- 13NatanTue 3:00 PM3%Books +2500-2.3%MatchWiz +3575
- 14Héctor BellerínTue 3:00 PM3%Books +2700-4.2%MatchWiz +3889
- 15Junior FirpoTue 3:00 PM2%Books +1700-3.1%MatchWiz +3928
- 16Filip UgrinicTue 3:00 PM2%Books +900-11.2%MatchWiz +4526
- 17Dimitri FoulquierTue 3:00 PM2%Books +3300-1.5%MatchWiz +5277
- 18Javier GuerraTue 3:00 PM2%Books +700-11.5%MatchWiz +5274
- 19César TárregaTue 3:00 PM1%Books +2500-5.3%MatchWiz +7225
- 20José GayàTue 3:00 PM1%Books +3000-4.0%MatchWiz +7701
- 21Jesús VázquezTue 3:00 PM1%Books +2000-7.6%MatchWiz +9900
- 22Ángel OrtizTue 3:00 PM1%Books +2200-4.1%MatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).