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La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Levante
    Roger Brugué
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    88%
    Books -2500
    -8.1%MatchWiz -738
  2. 2Levante
    Iván Romero
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    85%
    Books -2500
    -11.2%MatchWiz -566
  3. 3Sevilla
    Miguel Sierra
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    84%
    Books -1000
    -6.8%MatchWiz -531
  4. 4Levante
    Jon Ander Olasagasti
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    73%
    Books -360
    -5.7%MatchWiz -264
  5. 5Sevilla
    Rubén Vargas
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    68%
    Books -2500
    -27.7%MatchWiz -217
  6. 6Levante
    Adrián de la Fuente
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    68%
    Books -370
    -11.1%MatchWiz -208
  7. 7Sevilla
    Chidera Ejuke
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books -650
    -29.9%MatchWiz -131
  8. 8Sevilla
    Lucien Agoumé
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books -115
    +2.6%MatchWiz -128
  9. 9Levante
    Enzo Bardeli
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books -310
    -22.3%MatchWiz -114
  10. 10Sevilla
    Jon Guridi
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books -475
    -29.8%MatchWiz -112
  11. 11Sevilla
    Juan Iglesias
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -185
    -16.5%MatchWiz +106
  12. 12Sevilla
    Isaac Romero
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books -7000
    -53.0%MatchWiz +119
  13. 13Sevilla
    Andrés Castrín
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    45%
    Books -185
    -19.9%MatchWiz +122
  14. 14Sevilla
    Giorgi Kochorashvili
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books -550
    -40.2%MatchWiz +125
  15. 15Sevilla
    Alfonso González
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    42%
    Books -2500
    -54.2%MatchWiz +138
  16. 16Levante
    Orio Rey
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books -145
    -17.7%MatchWiz +141
  17. 17Levante
    Jorge Cabello
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books -105
    -14.0%MatchWiz +168
  18. 18Sevilla
    Arouna Sangante
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books -185
    -31.6%MatchWiz +201
  19. 19Levante
    Nacho Pérez
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books -120
    -21.9%MatchWiz +206
  20. 20Levante
    Manu Sánchez
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books +130
    -11.3%MatchWiz +210
  21. 21Levante
    Aïssa Mandi
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books -110
    -20.3%MatchWiz +212
  22. 22Sevilla
    Gabriel Suazo
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books +120
    -18.3%MatchWiz +268
  23. 23Levante
    Víctor García
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books -1000
    -66.5%MatchWiz +310
  24. 24Levante
    Dani Requena
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books -310
    -54.4%MatchWiz +371
  25. 25Levante
    Hugo Sotelo
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books +115
    -26.1%MatchWiz +391
  26. 26Levante
    Jeremy Toljan
    LevantevSevilla
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books +125
    -25.8%MatchWiz +435
  27. 27Sevilla
    José Ángel Carmona
    SevillavLevante
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books -150
    -44.0%MatchWiz +526

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).