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La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Real Betis
    Antony
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    97%
    Books -4000
    -0.5%MatchWiz -3267
    ✓ 4
  2. 2Villarreal
    Georges Mikautadze
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    94%
    Books -5000
    -4.4%MatchWiz -1475
    ✓ 4
  3. 3Villarreal
    Nicolas Pépé
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    93%
    Books -2500
    -2.9%MatchWiz -1380
    ✓ 2
  4. 4Real Betis
    Abde Ezzalzouli
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    90%
    Books -2500
    -5.8%MatchWiz -941
    ✓ 3
  5. 5Real Betis
    Cucho Hernández
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    88%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -710
    ✓ 4
  6. 6Villarreal
    Ayoze Pérez
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    84%
    Books -3000
    -12.6%MatchWiz -532
    ✗ 0
  7. 7Villarreal
    Carlos Romero
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    81%
    Books -260
    +8.6%MatchWiz -421
    ✓ 1
  8. 8Villarreal
    Pape Gueye
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books -1500
    -13.3%MatchWiz -413
    ✗ 0
  9. 9Real Betis
    Aitor Ruibal
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books -1000
    -10.5%MatchWiz -410
    DNP
  10. 10
    Romain Perraud
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -276
    DNP
  11. 11Real Betis
    Pablo Fornals
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books -450
    -9.3%MatchWiz -263
    ✓ 3
  12. 12Real Betis
    Rodrigo Riquelme
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    69%
    Books -900
    -20.7%MatchWiz -226
    ✓ 2
  13. 13
    Thierno Barry
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -224
    DNP
  14. 14Real Betis
    Marc Roca
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    67%
    Books -200
    -0.2%MatchWiz -199
    ✗ 0
  15. 15
    Yéremy Pino
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -187
    DNP
  16. 16Real Betis
    Cédric Bakambu
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -183
    DNP
  17. 17Real Betis
    Isco
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books -1250
    -28.0%MatchWiz -182
    ✓ 3
  18. 18Real Betis
    Iker Losada
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    63%
    Books -750
    -25.5%MatchWiz -169
    DNP
  19. 19Villarreal
    Gerard Moreno
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books -4000
    -35.1%MatchWiz -166
    ✓ 1
  20. 20Villarreal
    Alberto Moleiro
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books -1100
    -29.9%MatchWiz -161
    ✓ 2
  21. 21Real Betis
    Facundo Bernal
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books -450
    -20.2%MatchWiz -161
    ✗ 0
  22. 22
    Jesús Rodriguez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -146
    DNP
  23. 23Real Betis
    Marc Bartra
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books -150
    -0.8%MatchWiz -145
    ✗ 0
  24. 24
    Sergi Altimira
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -133
    DNP
  25. 25
    Alfonso Pedraza
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -129
    DNP
  26. 26Villarreal
    Juan Foyth
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books -200
    -11.9%MatchWiz -121
    DNP
  27. 27Villarreal
    Tajon Buchanan
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books -1100
    -37.2%MatchWiz -120
    ✓ 2
  28. 28
    Rafa Marín
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -119
    DNP
  29. 29
    Ricardo Rodríguez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -115
    DNP
  30. 30Villarreal
    Dani Parejo
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -113
    DNP
  31. 31Real Betis
    Giovani Lo Celso
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books -900
    -37.3%MatchWiz -111
    ✗ 0
  32. 32Villarreal
    Sergi Cardona
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    51%
    Books -155
    -9.6%MatchWiz -105
    DNP
  33. 33Villarreal
    Alex Freeman
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books -425
    -31.4%MatchWiz +102
    ✗ 0
  34. 34Villarreal
    Santi Comesaña
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books -475
    -33.1%MatchWiz +102
    ✓ 1
  35. 35Real Betis
    Troy Parrott
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -2500
    -48.2%MatchWiz +109
    DNP
  36. 36Villarreal
    Santiago Mouriño
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -200
    -18.7%MatchWiz +109
    ✗ 0
  37. 37Villarreal
    Logan Costa
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books +105
    -4.5%MatchWiz +126
    DNP
  38. 38Real Betis
    Nelson Deossa
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books -900
    -47.4%MatchWiz +135
    ✓ 3
  39. 39Real Betis
    Álvaro Fidalgo
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books -330
    -35.6%MatchWiz +143
    DNP
  40. 40Real Betis
    Valentín Gómez
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books +110
    -11.0%MatchWiz +173
    DNP
  41. 41Villarreal
    Thomas Partey
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +174
    DNP
  42. 42Villarreal
    Renato Veiga
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books -115
    -18.3%MatchWiz +184
    ✗ 0
  43. 43Real Betis
    Fran García
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books +160
    -3.8%MatchWiz +189
    ✗ 0
  44. 44Villarreal
    Carlos Macià
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +189
    DNP
  45. 45Real Betis
    Sofyan Amrabat
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +205
    DNP
  46. 46Real Betis
    Diego Llorente
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books +160
    -6.5%MatchWiz +213
    DNP
  47. 47Real Betis
    Héctor Bellerín
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books +110
    -15.8%MatchWiz +214
    ✓ 3
  48. 48Real Betis
    Natan
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books +165
    -6.0%MatchWiz +215
    ✓ 1
  49. 49
    Willy Kambwala
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +238
    DNP
  50. 50Real Betis
    Junior Firpo
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books -110
    -23.1%MatchWiz +242
    DNP
  51. 51Real Betis
    Vitor Roque
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +251
    DNP
  52. 52Villarreal
    Pau Navarro
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books +125
    -17.2%MatchWiz +267
    ✗ 0
  53. 53Real Betis
    William Carvalho
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +275
    DNP
  54. 54Real Betis
    Youssouf Sabaly
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +295
    DNP
  55. 55Real Betis
    Ángel Ortiz
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books +100
    -25.4%MatchWiz +306
    DNP
  56. 56
    Manor Solomon
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +359
    DNP
  57. 57Real Betis
    Dani Ceballos
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +408
    ✗ 0
  58. 58Real Betis
    Diego Conde
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  59. 59Real Betis
    Adrián
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  60. 60Real Betis
    Pau López
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  61. 61Villarreal
    Arnau Tenas
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  62. 62Villarreal
    Luiz Júnior
    Villarreal1–2Real Betis
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  63. 63Real Betis
    Álvaro Valles
    Real Betis2–1Villarreal
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).