La Liga 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Roberto FernándezFri 3:00 PM✓ 390%Books -2500-5.8%MatchWiz -941 - 2
Rafa MirFri 3:00 PMDNP90%Books no lineMatchWiz -887 - 3Álvaro RodríguezFri 3:00 PMDNP88%Books no lineMatchWiz -752
- 4
Edu ExpósitoFri 3:00 PM✓ 285%Books no lineMatchWiz -552 - 5
Javier PuadoFri 3:00 PMDNP81%Books no lineMatchWiz -417 - 6
Ali HouaryFri 3:00 PMDNP80%Books -390+0.1%MatchWiz -391 - 7
CalaFri 3:00 PM✓ 380%Books no lineMatchWiz -389 - 8André SilvaFri 3:00 PMDNP78%Books no lineMatchWiz -346
- 9
Fer NiñoFri 3:00 PM✓ 277%Books no lineMatchWiz -327 - 10
Tyrhys DolanFri 3:00 PM✓ 276%Books -900-13.6%MatchWiz -325 - 11
Facundo BuonanotteFri 3:00 PMDNP74%Books -900-15.6%MatchWiz -290 - 12
Grady DianganaFri 3:00 PMDNP71%Books -425-10.2%MatchWiz -242 - 13
Javi HernandezFri 3:00 PM✓ 371%Books -1000-20.3%MatchWiz -240 - 14
Bryan ZaragozaFri 3:00 PM✓ 270%Books no lineMatchWiz -237 - 15
Marcos FernándezFri 3:00 PM✓ 368%Books -7000-30.4%MatchWiz -214 - 16
Ezequiel PonceFri 3:00 PMDNP67%Books no lineMatchWiz -205 - 17
Abiel OsorioFri 3:00 PM✓ 265%Books -1000-25.8%MatchWiz -186 - 18
José Antonio MorenteFri 3:00 PM✗ 065%Books no lineMatchWiz -185 - 19Cyril NgongeFri 3:00 PMDNP65%Books no lineMatchWiz -184
- 20
Germán ValeraFri 3:00 PM✓ 163%Books -650-23.3%MatchWiz -173 - 21David AffengruberFri 3:00 PMDNP59%Books no lineMatchWiz -146
- 22
Leandro CabreraFri 3:00 PM✓ 157%Books -450-24.7%MatchWiz -133 - 23
Gonzalo VillarFri 3:00 PM✗ 055%Books -185-10.2%MatchWiz -121 - 24
Léo PétrotFri 3:00 PMDNP53%Books no lineMatchWiz -112 - 25
Federico RedondoFri 3:00 PM✗ 051%Books -145-8.2%MatchWiz -104 - 26
Enrique GarcíaFri 3:00 PMDNP49%Books no lineMatchWiz +104 - 27
Lucas CepedaFri 3:00 PM✓ 247%Books -2000-47.9%MatchWiz +111 - 28
Unai NúñezFri 3:00 PM✓ 147%Books no lineMatchWiz +115 - 29
Gabriel MoscardoFri 3:00 PMDNP46%Books -330-30.3%MatchWiz +115 - 30
Adam BoayarFri 3:00 PMDNP40%Books no lineMatchWiz +147 - 31
Urko GonzalezFri 3:00 PM✗ 040%Books -190-25.2%MatchWiz +148 - 32
Antoniu RocaFri 3:00 PMDNP40%Books no lineMatchWiz +152 - 33
Roy RevivoFri 3:00 PM✗ 039%Books no lineMatchWiz +154 - 34
Víctor ChustFri 3:00 PM✓ 138%Books +155-1.6%MatchWiz +166 - 35
Pedro BigasFri 3:00 PM✗ 038%Books +100-12.5%MatchWiz +166 - 36
Yago AlonsoFri 3:00 PMDNP36%Books no lineMatchWiz +177 - 37
Clemens RiedelFri 3:00 PM✗ 034%Books +135-8.5%MatchWiz +194 - 38
Charles PickelFri 3:00 PMDNP34%Books no lineMatchWiz +194 - 39
Roger HinojoFri 3:00 PM✗ 033%Books +140-9.0%MatchWiz +206 - 40
Martim NetoFri 3:00 PMDNP31%Books -270-42.0%MatchWiz +223 - 41
Marc AguadoFri 3:00 PMDNP30%Books +100-19.6%MatchWiz +229 - 42
Andoni GorosabelFri 3:00 PMDNP28%Books no lineMatchWiz +254 - 43Luca KoleoshoFri 3:00 PMDNP28%Books no lineMatchWiz +255
- 44
Buba SangaréFri 3:00 PM✗ 024%Books +200-9.1%MatchWiz +312 - 45
Rafael BauzaFri 3:00 PMDNP24%Books -1500-70.1%MatchWiz +323 - 46
Javier MorcilloFri 3:00 PM✓ 124%Books no lineMatchWiz +325 - 47
Pol LozanoFri 3:00 PMDNP19%Books -195-46.9%MatchWiz +421 - 48
Rubén SánchezFri 3:00 PM✗ 017%Books -125-38.3%MatchWiz +479 - 49
Bambo DiabyFri 3:00 PMDNP15%Books +165-22.8%MatchWiz +569 - 50
Omar El HilaliFri 3:00 PMDNP15%Books no lineMatchWiz +583 - 51
Vanja DrkusicFri 3:00 PMDNP12%Books no lineMatchWiz +747 - 52
Iñaki PeñaFri 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 53
Matías DituroFri 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 54
Marko DmitrovicFri 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).