MatchWiz

La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Athletic Club
    Oihan Sancet
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    91%
    Books -1500
    -3.2%MatchWiz -960
    0
  2. 2Levante
    Roger Brugué
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    90%
    Books -2000
    -5.4%MatchWiz -887
    0
  3. 3Levante
    Iván Romero
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    86%
    Books -2000
    -9.2%MatchWiz -618
    0
  4. 4Athletic Club
    Iñaki Williams
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    84%
    Books -3000
    -12.4%MatchWiz -541
    0
  5. 5Athletic Club
    Gorka Guruzeta
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    83%
    Books -5000
    -14.7%MatchWiz -499
    0
  6. 6Athletic Club
    Nico Williams
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    83%
    Books -2000
    -12.4%MatchWiz -482
    0
  7. 7Athletic Club
    Álvaro Djaló
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    77%
    Books -2000
    -18.4%MatchWiz -331
    0
  8. 8Levante
    Jon Ander Olasagasti
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    75%
    Books -475
    -8.0%MatchWiz -294
    0
  9. 9Levante
    Adrián de la Fuente
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    70%
    Books -360
    -7.9%MatchWiz -237
    0
  10. 10Athletic Club
    Robert Navarro
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    70%
    Books -1250
    -22.5%MatchWiz -234
    0
  11. 11Athletic Club
    Yuri Berchiche
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    64%
    Books -230
    -5.3%MatchWiz -181
    0
  12. 12Athletic Club
    Peio Canales
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    62%
    Books -750
    -26.2%MatchWiz -164
  13. 13Athletic Club
    Beñat Prados
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    58%
    Books -350
    -19.8%MatchWiz -138
    0
  14. 14Athletic Club
    Beñat Gerenabarrena
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    57%
    Books -280
    -17.1%MatchWiz -130
    0
  15. 15Athletic Club
    Alejandro Rego
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    55%
    Books -290
    -19.0%MatchWiz -124
    0
  16. 16Levante
    Orio Rey
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    55%
    Books -140
    -3.5%MatchWiz -122
    0
  17. 17Levante
    Enzo Bardeli
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    51%
    Books -300
    -24.2%MatchWiz -103
    0
  18. 18Athletic Club
    Álex Berenguer
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    50%
    Books -2000
    -44.9%MatchWiz -102
    0
  19. 19Athletic Club
    Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    49%
    Books -180
    -15.4%MatchWiz +105
    0
  20. 20Levante
    Víctor García
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    48%
    Books -900
    -41.8%MatchWiz +107
    0
  21. 21Athletic Club
    Aitor Paredes
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    45%
    Books -120
    -9.2%MatchWiz +120
    0
  22. 22Athletic Club
    Aymeric Laporte
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    45%
    Books -140
    -13.0%MatchWiz +120
    0
  23. 23Athletic Club
    Yeray
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    43%
    Books -120
    -11.5%MatchWiz +132
    0
  24. 24Athletic Club
    Maroan Sannadi
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    43%
    Books -4000
    -54.6%MatchWiz +133
    0
  25. 25Levante
    Jorge Cabello
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    35%
    Books -110
    -17.9%MatchWiz +190
    0
  26. 26Athletic Club
    Mikel Jauregizar
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    34%
    Books -310
    -42.1%MatchWiz +198
    0
  27. 27Levante
    Manu Sánchez
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    32%
    Books +125
    -12.0%MatchWiz +208
    0
  28. 28Levante
    Aïssa Mandi
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    31%
    Books -105
    -19.9%MatchWiz +220
    0
  29. 29Levante
    Nacho Pérez
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    30%
    Books -120
    -24.1%MatchWiz +228
    0
  30. 30Athletic Club
    Jesús Areso
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    26%
    Books +115
    -20.1%MatchWiz +279
    0
  31. 31Levante
    Hugo Sotelo
    LevantevAthletic Club
    Wed 2:00 PM
    19%
    Books +115
    -27.7%MatchWiz +431
  32. 32Athletic Club
    Johaneko Louis Jean
    Athletic ClubvLevante
    Wed 2:00 PM
    12%
    Books -135
    -45.2%MatchWiz +715
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).