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Ligue 1 Match Board — Saturday, April 4, 2026

Every Ligue 1 match on Saturday, April 4, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 24 of 27 on ML, 22 of 27 on Over 2.5, 24 of 27 on BTTS.

Saturday, April 4

MatchupProbProjFairMktWizEdge
FT · 3–1
Match page →
STRStrasbourgvsNICENice

Stade de la Meinau · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–4
Match page →
BREBrestvsRENStade Rennais

Stade Francis-Le Blé · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
LILLLillevsRCLLens

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).