Ligue 1 Match Board — Sunday, October 18, 2026

Every Ligue 1 match on Sunday, October 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 46 of 54 on ML, 41 of 54 on Over 2.5, 46 of 54 on BTTS.

Sunday, October 18

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

9:00 AM ET

Proj1.1–1.5

Match page →

AngersHOME26%1.1proj+286fair+236mkt-3.9%

Draw28%—proj+257fair+292mkt+2.5%

MarseilleAWAY46%1.5proj+117fair+125mkt+1.6%

O2.5 49% · mkt 58%BTTS 53%1H O1.5 33%

11:15 AM ET

Proj1.3–1.1

Match page →

Le Havre ACHOME41%1.3proj+142fair+156mkt+2.2%

Draw30%—proj+234fair+272mkt+3.0%

AJ AuxerreAWAY29%1.1proj+247fair+196mkt-5.0%

O2.5 43% · mkt 50%BTTS 50%1H O1.5 30%

11:15 AM ET

Proj1.3–1.3

Match page →

LorientHOME35%1.3proj+189fair+275mktModel lean+8.0%

Draw29%—proj+247fair+275mkt+2.1%

AS MonacoAWAY37%1.3proj+173fair+114mkt-10.1%

O2.5 49% · mkt 51%BTTS 54%1H O1.5 33%

11:15 AM ET

Proj1.7–1.3

Match page →

Paris FCHOME46%1.7proj+119fair—mkt—

Draw26%—proj+280fair—mkt—

Stade RennaisAWAY28%1.3proj+257fair—mkt—

O2.5 56%BTTS 59%1H O1.5 38%

2:45 PM ET

Proj1.8–0.8

Match page →

LyonHOME62%1.8proj-161fair-135mktModel lean+4.1%

Draw24%—proj+311fair+333mkt+1.2%

NiceAWAY14%0.8proj+612fair+410mkt-5.5%

O2.5 48% · mkt 56%BTTS 46%1H O1.5 32%

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).