MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MIL
    Rafael Leão
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -231
  2. 2MIL
    Christopher Nkunku
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -165
  3. 3MIL
    Alexis Saelemaekers
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -146
  4. 4MIL
    Santiago Gimenez
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
  5. 5MIL
    Adrien Rabiot
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -101
  6. 6MIL
    Christian Pulisic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +102
  7. 7
    Tijjani Reijnders
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +108
  8. 8MIL
    Youssouf Fofana
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +123
  9. 9MIL
    Theo Hernández
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
  10. 10
    Malick Thiaw
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +136
  11. 11VEN
    John Yeboah
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +136
  12. 12
    Alessio Zerbin
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +137
  13. 13
    João Félix
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +163
  14. 14MIL
    Luka Jovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +170
  15. 15MIL
    Luka Modric
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +171
  16. 16MIL
    Davide Bartesaghi
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +223
  17. 17
    Tammy Abraham
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +228
  18. 18MIL
    Ruben Loftus-Cheek
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +268
  19. 19MIL
    Samuel Chukwueze
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +271
  20. 20
    Andrei Radu
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +291
  21. 21MIL
    Warren Bondo
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +308
  22. 22MIL
    Strahinja Pavlovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +336
  23. 23VEN
    Gianluca Busio
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +342
  24. 24VEN
    Alfred Duncan
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +395
  25. 25VEN
    Enrique Perez
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +438
  26. 26MIL
    Koni De Winter
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +444
  27. 27
    Álex Jiménez
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +452
  28. 28MIL
    Fikayo Tomori
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +514
  29. 29MIL
    Matteo Gabbia
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +519
  30. 30MIL
    Pervis Estupiñán
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +611
  31. 31VEN
    Mirko Maric
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +711
  32. 32VEN
    Daniel Fila
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +746
  33. 33MIL
    Samuele Ricci
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +798
  34. 34VEN
    Joel Schingtienne
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +812
  35. 35VEN
    Christian Gytkjaer
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1155
  36. 36VEN
    Ridgeciano Haps
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1180
  37. 37VEN
    Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1223
  38. 38VEN
    Cheick Oumar Conde
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1248
  39. 39MIL
    Ismaël Bennacer
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1310
  40. 40
    Franco Carboni
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1998
  41. 41VEN
    Francesco Zampano
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2187
  42. 42MIL
    Kyle Walker
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  43. 43MIL
    Mike Maignan
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  44. 44VEN
    Filip Stankovic
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).