MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1FIO
    Moise Kean
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    61%
    Books -250
    -10.0%MatchWiz -159
    ✓
  2. 2BOL
    Riccardo Orsolini
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    56%
    Books -250
    -15.2%MatchWiz -128
    0
  3. 3FIO
    Albert Gudmundsson
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    52%
    Books -120
    -2.4%MatchWiz -109
    0
  4. 4ROMA
    Eldor Shomurodov
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -106
  5. 5LAZ
    Matteo Cancellieri
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    49%
    Books -160
    -13.0%MatchWiz +106
    ✓
  6. 6ROMA
    Paulo Dybala
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    47%
    Books -250
    -24.0%MatchWiz +111
    ✓
  7. 7
    Santiago Castro
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +112
  8. 8LAZ
    Boulaye Dia
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    47%
    Books -130
    -9.9%MatchWiz +115
    0
  9. 9LAZ
    Gustav Isaksen
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
    0
  10. 10ROMA
    Matìas Soulè
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    44%
    Books -190
    -21.4%MatchWiz +127
    ✓
  11. 11LAZ
    Valentín Castellanos
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +128
  12. 12ROMA
    Lorenzo Pellegrini
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +142
  13. 13BOL
    Jens Odgaard
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    41%
    Books -120
    -13.2%MatchWiz +142
    ✓
  14. 14BOL
    Jon Rowe
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +142
    ✓
  15. 15BOL
    Tommaso Pobega
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    41%
    Books +125
    -3.6%MatchWiz +145
    0
  16. 16BOL
    Nicolò Cambiaghi
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    38%
    Books -120
    -16.6%MatchWiz +163
    0
  17. 17FIO
    Rolando Mandragora
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books +100
    -12.2%MatchWiz +164
    0
  18. 18
    Dan Ndoye
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +169
  19. 19
    Angeliño
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +190
  20. 20LAZ
    Mattia Zaccagni
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    34%
    Books -105
    -17.6%MatchWiz +198
    ✓
  21. 21
    Toma Basic
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +208
  22. 22ROMA
    Bryan Cristante
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books +150
    -9.1%MatchWiz +224
    0
  23. 23LAZ
    Matteo Guendouzi
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +226
  24. 24
    Evan Ferguson
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +227
  25. 25ROMA
    Manu Koné
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
    0
  26. 26ROMA
    Leandro Paredes
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +238
  27. 27ROMA
    Wesley
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    29%
    Books +110
    -18.3%MatchWiz +241
    0
  28. 28
    Thijs Dallinga
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +246
  29. 29
    Giovanni Fabbian
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +251
  30. 30FIO
    Lucas Beltrán
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +253
  31. 31BOL
    Charalampos Lykogiannis
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +256
  32. 32ROMA
    Stephan El Shaarawy
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +267
  33. 33
    Amir Richardson
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +271
  34. 34BOL
    Martin Erlic
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +289
  35. 35FIO
    Nicolò Fagioli
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    24%
    Books +240
    -5.9%MatchWiz +325
    0
  36. 36LAZ
    Danilo Cataldi
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +327
  37. 37
    Roberto Piccoli
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +342
  38. 38BOL
    Lewis Ferguson
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    22%
    Books +200
    -10.9%MatchWiz +346
    0
  39. 39BOL
    Nikola Moro
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    22%
    Books +280
    -3.9%MatchWiz +347
    0
  40. 40
    Robin Gosens
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +354
  41. 41LAZ
    Nicolò Rovella
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    22%
    Books +600
    +7.5%MatchWiz +358
    0
  42. 42
    Tommaso Baldanzi
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +366
  43. 43ROMA
    Mario Hermoso
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    21%
    Books +290
    -4.6%MatchWiz +375
    0
  44. 44LAZ
    Adam Marusic
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +382
    0
  45. 45
    Kostas Tsimikas
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +393
  46. 46
    Simon Sohm
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +399
  47. 47
    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +403
  48. 48
    Michel Aebischer
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +408
  49. 49
    Leon Bailey
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +423
  50. 50ROMA
    Gianluca Mancini
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books +260
    -8.7%MatchWiz +424
    0
  51. 51BOL
    Juan Miranda
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    19%
    Books +340
    -3.8%MatchWiz +427
    0
  52. 52LAZ
    Tijjani Noslin
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    18%
    Books -165
    -44.0%MatchWiz +446
    0
  53. 53BOL
    Emil Holm
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    18%
    Books +310
    -6.5%MatchWiz +460
    0
  54. 54
    Zeki Çelik
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +466
  55. 55BOL
    Nadir Zortea
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    18%
    Books +250
    -11.0%MatchWiz +470
    0
  56. 56
    Matías Vecino
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +494
  57. 57LAZ
    Luca Pellegrini
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    17%
    Books +410
    -2.8%MatchWiz +495
  58. 58LAZ
    Reda Belahyane
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    17%
    Books +290
    -9.0%MatchWiz +500
    0
  59. 59ROMA
    Victor Nelsson
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +500
  60. 60BOL
    Remo Freuler
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +513
  61. 61
    Artem Dovbyk
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +516
  62. 62LAZ
    Manuel Lazzari
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    16%
    Books +450
    -2.0%MatchWiz +517
    0
  63. 63FIO
    Cher Ndour
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books +175
    -20.5%MatchWiz +532
    ✓
  64. 64LAZ
    Samuel Gigot
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +550
  65. 65BOL
    Martin Vitík
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    15%
    Books +460
    -2.6%MatchWiz +556
    0
  66. 66
    Mario Gila
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +566
  67. 67BOL
    Torbjørn Heggem
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +572
    0
  68. 68ROMA
    Mats Hummels
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +575
  69. 69FIO
    Luca Ranieri
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +575
    0
  70. 70
    Benjamín Domínguez
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +582
  71. 71ROMA
    Evan Ndicka
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books +260
    -13.3%MatchWiz +589
    0
  72. 72
    Jhon Lucumí
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +594
  73. 73ROMA
    Neil El Aynaoui
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books +130
    -29.4%MatchWiz +612
    0
  74. 74
    Pietro Comuzzo
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +619
  75. 75LAZ
    Alessio Romagnoli
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +622
    0
  76. 76
    Jacopo Fazzini
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +634
  77. 77
    Lucas Gourna-Douath
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +703
  78. 78
    Loum Tchaouna
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +704
  79. 79FIO
    Dodô
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books +470
    -5.7%MatchWiz +743
    0
  80. 80FIO
    Fabiano Parisi
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +750
  81. 81
    Pablo Marí
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +761
  82. 82LAZ
    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    11%
    Books +290
    -14.3%MatchWiz +783
    0
  83. 83FIO
    Marin Pongracic
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books +900
    +1.3%MatchWiz +784
    0
  84. 84
    Matías Moreno
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +787
  85. 85BOL
    Nicolo Casale
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    11%
    Books +480
    -6.0%MatchWiz +794
  86. 86FIO
    Mattia Viti
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +912
  87. 87ROMA
    Devyne Rensch
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    9%
    Books +210
    -23.3%MatchWiz +1019
  88. 88
    Sulemana
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1020
  89. 89ROMA
    Niccolò Pisilli
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books -115
    -45.4%MatchWiz +1142
    ✓
  90. 90LAZ
    Nuno Tavares
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    8%
    Books +370
    -13.5%MatchWiz +1178
    0
  91. 91ROMA
    Jan Ziólkowski
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1250
    0
  92. 92
    Eddy Kouadio
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1274
  93. 93
    Edin Dzeko
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1316
  94. 94
    Andrea Colpani
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1360
  95. 95
    Niccolò Fortini
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1781
  96. 96ROMA
    Daniele Ghilardi
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books +340
    -18.9%MatchWiz +2548
    0
  97. 97BOL
    Lorenzo De Silvestri
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    4%
    Books +200
    -29.6%MatchWiz +2575
    0
  98. 98
    Davide Calabria
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  99. 99LAZ
    Elseid Hysaj
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  100. 100BOL
    Lukasz Skorupski
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  101. 101
    Ivan Provedel
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  102. 102BOL
    Federico Ravaglia
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  103. 103LAZ
    Christos Mandas
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  104. 104FIO
    David de Gea
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  105. 105ROMA
    Mile Svilar
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).