MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1INT
    Lautaro Martínez
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    96%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -2246
  2. 2INT
    Luis Henrique
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    90%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -902
  3. 3INT
    Marcus Thuram
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    90%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -883
  4. 4INT
    Joaquín Correa
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    90%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -859
  5. 5COMO
    Anastasios Douvikas
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -828
  6. 6
    Giacomo Raspadori
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -826
  7. 7NAP
    Romelu Lukaku
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    88%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -717
  8. 8LAZ
    Matteo Cancellieri
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -671
  9. 9LAZ
    Boulaye Dia
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -666
  10. 10COMO
    Nico Paz
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -646
  11. 11LAZ
    Gustav Isaksen
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -581
  12. 12INT
    Hakan Çalhanoglu
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -551
  13. 13LAZ
    Valentín Castellanos
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -530
  14. 14NAP
    Rasmus Højlund
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -402
  15. 15INT
    Nicolò Barella
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -399
  16. 16GEN
    Vitinha
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -387
  17. 17COMO
    Jayden Addai
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -385
  18. 18NAP
    David Neres
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -385
  19. 19NAP
    Scott McTominay
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -381
  20. 20COMO
    Jesús Rodriguez
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -377
  21. 21CAG
    Sebastiano Esposito
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -375
  22. 22LAZ
    Mattia Zaccagni
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -374
  23. 23COMO
    Álvaro Morata
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -295
  24. 24COMO
    Gabriel Strefezza
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -292
  25. 25CAG
    Gennaro Borrelli
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -288
  26. 26
    Toma Basic
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -287
  27. 27CAG
    Nicolas Viola
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -279
  28. 28
    Denzel Dumfries
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -271
  29. 29INT
    Piotr Zielinski
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -252
  30. 30NAP
    Frank Anguissa
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -251
  31. 31GEN
    Ruslan Malinovskyi
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -238
  32. 32INT
    Yann Bisseck
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -225
  33. 33
    Michael Folorunsho
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -224
  34. 34INT
    Ange-Yoan Bonny
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -218
  35. 35LAZ
    Danilo Cataldi
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -213
  36. 36INT
    Federico Dimarco
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -211
  37. 37GEN
    Lorenzo Colombo
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -209
  38. 38NAP
    Billy Gilmour
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -199
  39. 39NAP
    Stanislav Lobotka
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -191
  40. 40COMO
    Assane Diao
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -178
  41. 41CAG
    Alessandro Deiola
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -177
  42. 42
    Mehdi Taremi
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -177
  43. 43NAP
    Kevin De Bruyne
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -176
  44. 44COMO
    Lucas Da Cunha
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -172
  45. 45
    Andrea Belotti
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -169
  46. 46INT
    Manuel Akanji
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -168
  47. 47
    Marco Palestra
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -164
  48. 48INT
    Petar Sucic
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -159
  49. 49CAG
    Michel Adopo
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -153
  50. 50LAZ
    Nicolò Rovella
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -153
  51. 51GEN
    Nicolae Stanciu
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -152
  52. 52COMO
    Alberto Moreno
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -148
  53. 53
    Jonathan Ikoné
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -140
  54. 54GEN
    Mikael Ellertsson
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -139
  55. 55
    Noa Lang
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -137
  56. 56INT
    Benjamin Pavard
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -134
  57. 57CAG
    Tommaso Augello
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -132
  58. 58GEN
    Milan Badelj
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -127
  59. 59INT
    Pio Esposito
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -125
  60. 60LAZ
    Matteo Guendouzi
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
  61. 61LAZ
    Adam Marusic
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
  62. 62
    Matías Vecino
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -115
  63. 63GEN
    Morten Frendrup
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -114
  64. 64NAP
    Amir Rrahmani
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -113
  65. 65COMO
    Jacobo Ramón
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -111
  66. 66COMO
    Máximo Perrone
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -111
  67. 67INT
    Alessandro Bastoni
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -110
  68. 68GEN
    Morten Thorsby
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -106
  69. 69INT
    Matteo Darmian
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -102
  70. 70CAG
    Mattia Felici
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -102
  71. 71COMO
    Álex Valle
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -100
  72. 72COMO
    Maxence Caqueret
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +101
  73. 73COMO
    Sergi Roberto
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
  74. 74LAZ
    Reda Belahyane
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
  75. 75LAZ
    Samuel Gigot
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +108
  76. 76LAZ
    Luca Pellegrini
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +108
  77. 77NAP
    Giovanni Di Lorenzo
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
  78. 78
    Mario Gila
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
  79. 79LAZ
    Manuel Lazzari
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
  80. 80GEN
    Johan Vásquez
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +113
  81. 81LAZ
    Alessio Romagnoli
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +116
  82. 82LAZ
    Tijjani Noslin
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +117
  83. 83GEN
    Lorenzo Venturino
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +117
  84. 84CAG
    Kingstone Mutandwa
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
  85. 85GEN
    Junior Messias
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +123
  86. 86
    Miguel Gutiérrez
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +124
  87. 87NAP
    Sam Beukema
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +124
  88. 88INT
    Stefan de Vrij
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +127
  89. 89NAP
    Leonardo Spinazzola
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
  90. 90GEN
    Leo Østigard
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
  91. 91CAG
    Yerry Mina
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
  92. 92COMO
    Edoardo Goldaniga
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +135
  93. 93INT
    Francesco Acerbi
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +141
  94. 94NAP
    Alessandro Buongiorno
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +148
  95. 95CAG
    Matteo Prati
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +151
  96. 96
    Mërgim Vojvoda
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +156
  97. 97CAG
    José Palomino
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +158
  98. 98NAP
    Matteo Politano
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +159
  99. 99CAG
    Juan Rodríguez
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +160
  100. 100GEN
    Mattia Bani
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +162
  101. 101GEN
    Jean Onana
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +164
  102. 102GEN
    Brooke Norton-Cuffy
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +164
  103. 103
    Gianluca Gaetano
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +165
  104. 104CAG
    Zé Pedro
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +165
  105. 105GEN
    Caleb Ekuban
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +166
  106. 106GEN
    Aarón Martín
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +170
  107. 107GEN
    Sebastian Otoa
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +171
  108. 108
    Loum Tchaouna
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +177
  109. 109LAZ
    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +178
  110. 110LAZ
    Nuno Tavares
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +179
  111. 111COMO
    Alberto Dossena
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +184
  112. 112INT
    Carlos Augusto
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +192
  113. 113CAG
    Antoine Makoumbou
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +196
  114. 114GEN
    Alessandro Marcandalli
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +198
  115. 115NAP
    Rafa Marín
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +205
  116. 116COMO
    Martin Baturina
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +210
  117. 117
    Jeff Ekhator
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +210
  118. 118CAG
    Adam Obert
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
  119. 119COMO
    Ivan Smolcic
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +216
  120. 120INT
    Marko Arnautovic
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +218
  121. 121GEN
    Lior Kasa
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +224
  122. 122CAG
    Gabriele Zappa
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
  123. 123CAG
    Razvan Marin
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +230
  124. 124CAG
    Florinel Coman
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +234
  125. 125INT
    Henrikh Mkhitaryan
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +237
  126. 126
    Stefan Posch
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +278
  127. 127GEN
    Stefano Sabelli
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +285
  128. 128
    Eljif Elmas
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +292
  129. 129CAG
    Sebastiano Luperto
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +308
  130. 130COMO
    Ignace van der Brempt
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +318
  131. 131COMO
    Diego Carlos
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +371
  132. 132
    Yannick Engelhardt
    —v—
    Sun 12:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +383
  133. 133
    Albert Grønbaek
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +388
  134. 134CAG
    Riyad Idrissi
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +400
  135. 135GEN
    Alan Matturro
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +433
  136. 136NAP
    Juan Jesus
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +475
  137. 137LAZ
    Elseid Hysaj
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +547
  138. 138LAZ
    Christos Mandas
    LAZvGEN
    Sun 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  139. 139INT
    Josep Martínez
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  140. 140INT
    Yann Sommer
    INTvCAG
    Sun 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  141. 141
    Ivan Provedel
    —v—
    Sun 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  142. 142GEN
    Daniele Sommariva
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  143. 143NAP
    Alex Meret
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  144. 144NAP
    Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
    NAPvCOMO
    Sun 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  145. 145GEN
    Nicola Leali
    GENvLAZ
    Sun 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  146. 146CAG
    Elia Caprile
    CAGvINT
    Sun 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  147. 147COMO
    Jean Butez
    COMOvNAP
    Sun 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).