MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ATA
    Mateo Retegui
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    91%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1058
  2. 2ROMA
    Eldor Shomurodov
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    90%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -881
  3. 3ATA
    Gianluca Scamacca
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -848
  4. 4BOL
    Riccardo Orsolini
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -796
  5. 5ATA
    Charles De Ketelaere
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    88%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -754
  6. 6ROMA
    Matìas Soulè
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -562
  7. 7ROMA
    Paulo Dybala
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -548
  8. 8
    Santiago Castro
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    83%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -494
  9. 9ROMA
    Lorenzo Pellegrini
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    83%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -473
  10. 10BOL
    Jens Odgaard
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -344
  11. 11BOL
    Jon Rowe
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -337
  12. 12
    Ademola Lookman
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -336
  13. 13BOL
    Nicolò Cambiaghi
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    76%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -321
  14. 14LEC
    Nikola Stulic
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -305
  15. 15
    Angeliño
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -288
  16. 16ROMA
    Manu Koné
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -282
  17. 17ROMA
    Bryan Cristante
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -280
  18. 18ATA
    Éderson
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -275
  19. 19ROMA
    Leandro Paredes
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -271
  20. 20
    Dan Ndoye
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -270
  21. 21BOL
    Tommaso Pobega
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -260
  22. 22
    Tommaso Baldanzi
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -249
  23. 23
    Jesper Karlsson
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -205
  24. 24LEC
    Santiago Pierotti
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -198
  25. 25ATA
    Nikola Krstovic
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -187
  26. 26ATA
    Marten de Roon
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -185
  27. 27ROMA
    Wesley
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -181
  28. 28
    Giovanni Fabbian
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -178
  29. 29
    Thijs Dallinga
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -177
  30. 30LEC
    Medon Berisha
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -173
  31. 31
    Evan Ferguson
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -172
  32. 32BOL
    Martin Erlic
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -168
  33. 33
    Patrick Dorgu
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -159
  34. 34BOL
    Charalampos Lykogiannis
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -147
  35. 35BOL
    Nikola Moro
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -144
  36. 36
    Zeki Çelik
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -139
  37. 37BOL
    Lewis Ferguson
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -136
  38. 38ATA
    Davide Zappacosta
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -135
  39. 39ROMA
    Evan Ndicka
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -135
  40. 40ROMA
    Stephan El Shaarawy
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -129
  41. 41LEC
    Lassana Coulibaly
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -125
  42. 42ROMA
    Mario Hermoso
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
  43. 43BOL
    Nadir Zortea
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -120
  44. 44
    Riccardo Sottil
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -117
  45. 45ROMA
    Gianluca Mancini
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -114
  46. 46ATA
    Rafael Tolói
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -114
  47. 47
    Kostas Tsimikas
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -110
  48. 48LEC
    Lameck Banda
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -105
  49. 49ATA
    Giorgio Scalvini
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -104
  50. 50
    José Antonio Morente
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
  51. 51
    Leon Bailey
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
  52. 52ROMA
    Victor Nelsson
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +105
  53. 53BOL
    Juan Miranda
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
  54. 54ATA
    Raoul Bellanova
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +108
  55. 55BOL
    Martin Vitík
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +109
  56. 56BOL
    Emil Holm
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
  57. 57LEC
    Tiago Gabriel
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +120
  58. 58
    Michel Aebischer
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +120
  59. 59LEC
    Ante Rebic
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +129
  60. 60LEC
    Ylber Ramadani
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +129
  61. 61ATA
    Isak Hien
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +130
  62. 62ATA
    Berat Djimsiti
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +133
  63. 63ATA
    Mario Pasalic
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +133
  64. 64
    Jhon Lucumí
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +136
  65. 65BOL
    Torbjørn Heggem
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +137
  66. 66
    Artem Dovbyk
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +138
  67. 67
    Yunus Musah
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +140
  68. 68ATA
    Sead Kolasinac
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +142
  69. 69ATA
    Honest Ahanor
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +145
  70. 70ATA
    Kamaldeen Sulemana
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +152
  71. 71
    Benjamín Domínguez
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +155
  72. 72ROMA
    Mats Hummels
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +157
  73. 73ATA
    Odilon Kossounou
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +159
  74. 74ROMA
    Neil El Aynaoui
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +161
  75. 75LEC
    Gaby Jean
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +165
  76. 76LEC
    Konan N’Dri
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +165
  77. 77ATA
    Lorenzo Bernasconi
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +168
  78. 78LEC
    Kialonda Gaspar
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +171
  79. 79
    Francesco Camarda
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +172
  80. 80LEC
    Federico Baschirotto
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +172
  81. 81LEC
    Álex Sala
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +174
  82. 82LEC
    Antonino Gallo
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +175
  83. 83
    Lucas Gourna-Douath
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +184
  84. 84BOL
    Remo Freuler
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +184
  85. 85
    Matteo Ruggeri
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +196
  86. 86BOL
    Nicolo Casale
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +201
  87. 87LEC
    Jamil Siebert
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +204
  88. 88
    Daniel Maldini
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
  89. 89ATA
    Nicola Zalewski
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +215
  90. 90LEC
    Owen Kouassi
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +220
  91. 91LEC
    Danilo Veiga
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
  92. 92ROMA
    Devyne Rensch
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +254
  93. 93ATA
    Juan Cuadrado
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +280
  94. 94ROMA
    Niccolò Pisilli
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +291
  95. 95ROMA
    Jan Ziólkowski
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +295
  96. 96ATA
    Sulemana
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +304
  97. 97
    Davide Calabria
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +361
  98. 98LEC
    Frédéric Guilbert
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +384
  99. 99
    Thorir Johann Helgason
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +396
  100. 100ROMA
    Daniele Ghilardi
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +637
  101. 101BOL
    Lorenzo De Silvestri
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +799
  102. 102LEC
    Corrie Ndaba
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +896
  103. 103BOL
    Federico Ravaglia
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  104. 104ROMA
    Mile Svilar
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  105. 105BOL
    Lukasz Skorupski
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  106. 106ATA
    Marco Carnesecchi
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  107. 107LEC
    Wladimiro Falcone
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).