MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 3+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 3+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MIL
    Rafael Leão
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -138
  2. 2MIL
    Alexis Saelemaekers
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -115
  3. 3MIL
    Christopher Nkunku
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -112
  4. 4MIL
    Santiago Gimenez
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +155
  5. 5
    Tijjani Reijnders
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
  6. 6MIL
    Youssouf Fofana
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +244
  7. 7MIL
    Adrien Rabiot
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +262
  8. 8MIL
    Christian Pulisic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +305
  9. 9
    Malick Thiaw
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +348
  10. 10MIL
    Ruben Loftus-Cheek
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +355
  11. 11
    Alessio Zerbin
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +373
  12. 12VEN
    John Yeboah
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +407
  13. 13MIL
    Luka Jovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +418
  14. 14MIL
    Theo Hernández
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +441
  15. 15
    João Félix
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +502
  16. 16MIL
    Luka Modric
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +599
  17. 17VEN
    Gianluca Busio
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +739
  18. 18
    Tammy Abraham
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1004
  19. 19MIL
    Davide Bartesaghi
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1160
  20. 20MIL
    Koni De Winter
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1565
  21. 21MIL
    Warren Bondo
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1582
  22. 22MIL
    Samuel Chukwueze
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1685
  23. 23MIL
    Strahinja Pavlovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1712
  24. 24
    Andrei Radu
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1719
  25. 25MIL
    Matteo Gabbia
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2169
  26. 26MIL
    Fikayo Tomori
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2201
  27. 27MIL
    Pervis Estupiñán
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2344
  28. 28VEN
    Alfred Duncan
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2677
  29. 29
    Álex Jiménez
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2757
  30. 30VEN
    Enrique Perez
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4256
  31. 31MIL
    Ismaël Bennacer
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +6575
  32. 32VEN
    Mirko Maric
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  33. 33VEN
    Joel Schingtienne
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  34. 34VEN
    Daniel Fila
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  35. 35MIL
    Samuele Ricci
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  36. 36VEN
    Christian Gytkjaer
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  37. 37VEN
    Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  38. 38VEN
    Cheick Oumar Conde
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  39. 39VEN
    Ridgeciano Haps
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  40. 40
    Franco Carboni
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  41. 41MIL
    Kyle Walker
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  42. 42VEN
    Francesco Zampano
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  43. 43MIL
    Mike Maignan
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  44. 44VEN
    Filip Stankovic
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).