MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MIL
    Rafael Leão
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    95%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1937
  2. 2MIL
    Alexis Saelemaekers
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    94%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1581
  3. 3MIL
    Christopher Nkunku
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    94%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1528
  4. 4MIL
    Santiago Gimenez
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -852
  5. 5
    Tijjani Reijnders
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -589
  6. 6MIL
    Youssouf Fofana
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -555
  7. 7MIL
    Adrien Rabiot
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -520
  8. 8MIL
    Christian Pulisic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -456
  9. 9
    Malick Thiaw
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -408
  10. 10MIL
    Ruben Loftus-Cheek
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -402
  11. 11
    Alessio Zerbin
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -385
  12. 12VEN
    John Yeboah
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -359
  13. 13MIL
    Luka Jovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -351
  14. 14MIL
    Theo Hernández
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -337
  15. 15
    João Félix
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -305
  16. 16MIL
    Luka Modric
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -267
  17. 17VEN
    Gianluca Busio
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -230
  18. 18
    Tammy Abraham
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -187
  19. 19MIL
    Davide Bartesaghi
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -170
  20. 20MIL
    Koni De Winter
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -142
  21. 21MIL
    Warren Bondo
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -141
  22. 22MIL
    Samuel Chukwueze
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -136
  23. 23MIL
    Strahinja Pavlovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -134
  24. 24
    Andrei Radu
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -134
  25. 25MIL
    Matteo Gabbia
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -117
  26. 26MIL
    Fikayo Tomori
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -116
  27. 27MIL
    Pervis Estupiñán
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -112
  28. 28VEN
    Alfred Duncan
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -104
  29. 29
    Álex Jiménez
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
  30. 30VEN
    Enrique Perez
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +122
  31. 31MIL
    Ismaël Bennacer
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +151
  32. 32VEN
    Mirko Maric
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +203
  33. 33VEN
    Joel Schingtienne
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +205
  34. 34VEN
    Daniel Fila
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +206
  35. 35MIL
    Samuele Ricci
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +267
  36. 36VEN
    Christian Gytkjaer
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +316
  37. 37VEN
    Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +334
  38. 38VEN
    Cheick Oumar Conde
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +339
  39. 39VEN
    Ridgeciano Haps
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +508
  40. 40
    Franco Carboni
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +543
  41. 41MIL
    Kyle Walker
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +886
  42. 42VEN
    Francesco Zampano
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +975
  43. 43MIL
    Mike Maignan
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  44. 44VEN
    Filip Stankovic
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).