MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, March 21

TOR v CLB CLB

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.549%+102fair-108mkt-2.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+198fair—mkt—

PHI v CHI CHI

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.563%-171fair-110mkt+10.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—

NSH v ORL ORL

FT · 5–0

Goal count · Over 2.566%-193fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

ATL v DC

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.554%-116fair-104mkt+2.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+174fair—mkt—

CLT v RBNY RBNY

FT · 6–1

Goal count · Over 2.559%-141fair-129mkt+2.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+151fair—mkt—

STL v NE

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.562%-164fair-131mkt+5.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+136fair—mkt—

DAL v HOU HOU

FT · 4–3

Goal count · Over 2.557%-132fair-117mkt+3.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+159fair—mkt—

SKC v COL COL

FT · 1–4

Goal count · Over 2.564%-180fair-147mkt+4.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+127fair—mkt—

ATX v LAFC LAFC

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.558%-136fair-108mkt+5.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+156fair—mkt—

VAN v SJ

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.566%-197fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+120fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).