MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, March 22

NYC v MIA MIA

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.561%-159fair-146mkt+2.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+139fair—mkt—

CIN v MTL MTL

FT · 4–3

Goal count · Over 2.556%-126fair-132mkt-1.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+164fair—mkt—

MIN v SEA SEA

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.559%-141fair-104mkt+7.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+151fair—mkt—

POR v LA

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.562%-163fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+137fair—mkt—

SD v RSL RSL

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair-146mkt+0.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).