MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, April 11

TOR v CIN CIN

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.553%-112fair-130mkt-3.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+179fair—mkt—

ATX v LA

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.560%-147fair-123mkt+4.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+147fair—mkt—

MTL v PHI PHI

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.559%-144fair-108mkt+7.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+149fair—mkt—

POR v LAFC LAFC

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.559%-143fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+150fair—mkt—

MIA v RBNY RBNY

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.575%-304fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.553%-112fair—mkt—

NE v DC

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.550%-101fair+114mkt+3.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+193fair—mkt—

CLT v NSH NSH

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.557%-131fair-104mkt+5.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+160fair—mkt—

VAN v NYC NYC

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.561%-153fair-143mkt+1.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+143fair—mkt—

CHI v ATL ATL

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair-143mkt+2.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+141fair—mkt—

SKC v SJ

FT · 1–3

Goal count · Over 2.563%-173fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+131fair—mkt—

DAL v STL STL

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.562%-165fair-145mkt+3.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+135fair—mkt—

COL v HOU HOU

FT · 6–2

Goal count · Over 2.564%-179fair-124mkt+8.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+128fair—mkt—

SD v MIN MIN

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.565%-183fair-146mkt+5.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+126fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).