MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, April 4

TOR v COL COL

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.557%-130fair-126mkt+0.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+160fair—mkt—

NE v MTL MTL

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.558%-139fair-121mkt+3.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+153fair—mkt—

RSL v SKC SKC

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.565%-188fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+124fair—mkt—

CLT v PHI PHI

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.560%-148fair-111mkt+7.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—

RBNY v CIN CIN

FT · 4–2

Goal count · Over 2.563%-171fair-153mkt+2.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—

MIA v ATX ATX

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.568%-211fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+115fair—mkt—

NYC v STL STL

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.556%-129fair-121mkt+1.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+161fair—mkt—

DC v DAL DAL

FT · 0–4

Goal count · Over 2.551%-105fair-104mkt+0.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+187fair—mkt—

ATL v CLB CLB

FT · 1–3

Goal count · Over 2.554%-115fair-124mkt-1.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+175fair—mkt—

HOU v SEA SEA

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.554%-116fair-114mkt+0.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+174fair—mkt—

CHI v NSH NSH

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.560%-150fair-114mkt+6.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—

LAFC v ORL ORL

FT · 6–0

Goal count · Over 2.569%-224fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+110fair—mkt—

VAN v POR POR

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.568%-214fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+114fair—mkt—

SJ v SD

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.563%-171fair-153mkt+2.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—

LA v MIN MIN

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.562%-164fair-146mkt+2.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+136fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).