MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Wednesday, April 22

RBNY v DC

FT · 4–4

Goal count · Over 2.556%-125fair-122mkt+0.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+166fair—mkt—

ORL v CLT CLT

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.564%-176fair-148mkt+4.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+129fair—mkt—

NYC v CIN CIN

FT · 4–4

Goal count · Over 2.562%-162fair-151mkt+1.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+138fair—mkt—

TOR v PHI PHI

FT · 3–3

Goal count · Over 2.549%+102fair-104mkt-1.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+198fair—mkt—

ATL v NE

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.555%-123fair-106mkt+3.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+167fair—mkt—

HOU v SD

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.564%-176fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+129fair—mkt—

DAL v MIN MIN

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.563%-170fair-142mkt+4.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+133fair—mkt—

RSL v MIA MIA

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.567%-204fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+117fair—mkt—

CLB v LA

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.556%-126fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+164fair—mkt—

LAFC v COL COL

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.569%-218fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+112fair—mkt—

SJ v ATX ATX

FT · 5–1

Goal count · Over 2.566%-195fair-154mkt+5.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+121fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).