MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, April 25

TOR v ATL ATL

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.552%-106fair-126mkt-4.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+186fair—mkt—

MTL v NYC NYC

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.557%-135fair-107mkt+5.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+156fair—mkt—

MIN v LAFC LAFC

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.557%-135fair-118mkt+3.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+156fair—mkt—

DC v ORL ORL

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.560%-148fair-108mkt+7.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+147fair—mkt—

CIN v RBNY RBNY

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.573%-268fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.551%-103fair—mkt—

CLB v PHI PHI

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.552%-106fair-118mkt-2.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+186fair—mkt—

MIA v NE

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.569%-221fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+111fair—mkt—

CHI v SKC SKC

FT · 5–0

Goal count · Over 2.571%-241fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.549%+105fair—mkt—

ATX v HOU HOU

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.558%-138fair-113mkt+5.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+154fair—mkt—

NSH v CLT CLT

FT · 4–2

Goal count · Over 2.560%-150fair-121mkt+5.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—

STL v SJ

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.564%-175fair-146mkt+4.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+130fair—mkt—

SD v POR POR

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.566%-195fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+121fair—mkt—

SEA v DAL DAL

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.555%-124fair-133mkt-1.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+167fair—mkt—

VAN v COL COL

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.568%-216fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+113fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).