MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, May 2

TOR v SJ

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.557%-134fair-146mkt-2.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+157fair—mkt—

SKC v SEA SEA

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.555%-122fair-141mkt-3.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+168fair—mkt—

RSL v POR POR

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.563%-173fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+131fair—mkt—

MIA v ORL ORL

FT · 3–4

Goal count · Over 2.575%-301fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.553%-111fair—mkt—

ATL v MTL MTL

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.554%-117fair-118mkt-0.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+173fair—mkt—

RBNY v DAL DAL

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.566%-192fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

CLB v MIN MIN

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.555%-124fair-126mkt-0.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+167fair—mkt—

PHI v NSH NSH

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.555%-121fair+110mkt+7.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+169fair—mkt—

NE v CLT CLT

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.558%-137fair-133mkt+0.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+154fair—mkt—

HOU v COL COL

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.560%-147fair-146mkt+0.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+147fair—mkt—

CHI v CIN CIN

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.573%-264fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.551%-102fair—mkt—

SD v LAFC LAFC

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.560%-150fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—

LA v VAN VAN

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.564%-174fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+130fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).