MLS Team Props
Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, May 9
TOR v MIA
FT · 2–4
Goal count · Over 2.559%-142fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+151fair—mkt—
CHI v RBNY
FT · 1–3
Goal count · Over 2.577%-327fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.554%-118fair—mkt—
MTL v ORL
FT · 2–0
Goal count · Over 2.565%-185fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+125fair—mkt—
CLT v CIN
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.567%-205fair-153mkt+6.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+116fair—mkt—
ATL v LA
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.557%-134fair-134mkt-0.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+157fair—mkt—
NE v PHI
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.554%-116fair-100mkt+3.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+174fair—mkt—
DAL v RSL
FT · 3–1
Goal count · Over 2.561%-154fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+142fair—mkt—
NSH v DC
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.554%-118fair-101mkt+3.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+173fair—mkt—
COL v STL
FT · 0–1
Goal count · Over 2.567%-200fair-149mkt+6.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+118fair—mkt—
SJ v VAN
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.567%-201fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+118fair—mkt—
SEA v SD
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.562%-164fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+137fair—mkt—
POR v SKC
FT · 6–0
Goal count · Over 2.562%-163fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+137fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).