MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Wednesday, May 13

CLT v NYC NYC

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.556%-130fair-115mkt+3.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+161fair—mkt—

MTL v POR POR

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.557%-132fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+159fair—mkt—

RBNY v CLB CLB

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.559%-143fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+150fair—mkt—

ORL v PHI PHI

FT · 4–3

Goal count · Over 2.562%-164fair-149mkt+2.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+136fair—mkt—

CIN v MIA MIA

FT · 3–5

Goal count · Over 2.575%-293fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.552%-110fair—mkt—

NE v NSH NSH

FT · 0–3

Goal count · Over 2.557%-130fair+104mkt+7.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+161fair—mkt—

DC v CHI CHI

FT · 1–3

Goal count · Over 2.563%-171fair-122mkt+8.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—

SKC v LA

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.561%-157fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—

MIN v COL COL

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.566%-195fair-142mkt+7.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+120fair—mkt—

DAL v VAN VAN

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair-148mkt+0.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—

STL v LAFC LAFC

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.558%-136fair-129mkt+1.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+155fair—mkt—

RSL v HOU HOU

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.555%-122fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+168fair—mkt—

SEA v SJ

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.561%-159fair-150mkt+1.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+139fair—mkt—

SD v ATX ATX

FT · 5–0

Goal count · Over 2.570%-234fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+106fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).