MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, May 16

MTL v CHI CHI

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.564%-181fair-143mkt+5.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+127fair—mkt—

DC v STL STL

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.558%-139fair-123mkt+2.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+153fair—mkt—

RBNY v NYC NYC

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—

NE v MIN MIN

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.557%-131fair-121mkt+2.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+160fair—mkt—

ORL v ATL ATL

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.566%-192fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

PHI v CLB CLB

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.554%-116fair-133mkt-3.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+174fair—mkt—

CLT v TOR TOR

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.549%+103fair-124mkt-6.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+199fair—mkt—

HOU v VAN VAN

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.554%-118fair-138mkt-3.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+173fair—mkt—

ATX v SKC SKC

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.564%-176fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+130fair—mkt—

SEA v LA

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.565%-182fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+127fair—mkt—

SD v CIN CIN

FT · 3–3

Goal count · Over 2.574%-283fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.552%-107fair—mkt—

RSL v COL COL

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.563%-172fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—

SJ v DAL DAL

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.564%-176fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+130fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).