MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Wednesday, July 22

NE v TOR TOR

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.548%+109fair-123mkt-7.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+207fair—mkt—

PHI v RBNY RBNY

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.568%-210fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+115fair—mkt—

CLB v NYC NYC

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.550%+100fair-104mkt-1.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+195fair—mkt—

MIA v CHI CHI

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.578%-364fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.556%-127fair—mkt—

CIN v VAN VAN

FT · 4–3

Goal count · Over 2.573%-264fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.551%-102fair—mkt—

CLT v ATL ATL

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.554%-119fair-124mkt-1.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+171fair—mkt—

HOU v DC

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.551%-105fair-116mkt-2.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+188fair—mkt—

SKC v MIN MIN

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.561%-156fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+141fair—mkt—

NSH v MTL MTL

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.559%-141fair-144mkt-0.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+152fair—mkt—

ATX v SEA SEA

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.560%-152fair-121mkt+5.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+144fair—mkt—

COL v SD

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.569%-218fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+112fair—mkt—

LAFC v RSL RSL

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—

LA v STL STL

FT · 1–3

Goal count · Over 2.566%-193fair-149mkt+6.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+121fair—mkt—

POR v DAL DAL

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.561%-155fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+142fair—mkt—

SJ v ORL ORL

FT · 0–4

Goal count · Over 2.577%-340fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.555%-121fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).