MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, July 25

RBNY v CLT CLT

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.566%-191fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

CLB v CIN CIN

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.565%-189fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+123fair—mkt—

NYC v CHI CHI

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair-143mkt+2.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+139fair—mkt—

PHI v SEA SEA

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.563%-171fair-144mkt+4.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—

MTL v MIA MIA

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.572%-258fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.550%-101fair—mkt—

NE v ATL ATL

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.554%-119fair-129mkt-2.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+171fair—mkt—

DC v TOR TOR

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.549%+105fair-116mkt-5.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+202fair—mkt—

HOU v ATX ATX

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.552%-110fair-119mkt-1.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+182fair—mkt—

MIN v VAN VAN

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.564%-177fair-149mkt+4.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+129fair—mkt—

STL v COL COL

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.561%-156fair-140mkt+2.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+141fair—mkt—

ORL v NSH NSH

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.564%-174fair-149mkt+3.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+130fair—mkt—

SD v DAL DAL

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.564%-182fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+127fair—mkt—

LAFC v SKC SKC

FT · 4–0

Goal count · Over 2.567%-207fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+117fair—mkt—

POR v RSL RSL

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.564%-175fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+130fair—mkt—

SJ v LA

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.570%-238fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.549%+105fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).