MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 15

TOR v NE

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.551%-103fair-127mkt-5.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+191fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half21%+380fair—mkt—

TOR to score in both halves28%+257fair—mkt—

NE to score in both halves20%+410fair—mkt—

MTL v DC

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.560%-153fair-122mkt+5.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+143fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half26%+288fair—mkt—

MTL to score in both halves32%+211fair—mkt—

DC to score in both halves26%+286fair—mkt—

ORL v CIN CIN

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.578%-345fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.555%-123fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half36%+175fair—mkt—

ORL to score in both halves44%+125fair—mkt—

CIN to score in both halves36%+174fair—mkt—

ATL v RBNY RBNY

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.568%-208fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+115fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half29%+239fair—mkt—

ATL to score in both halves38%+162fair—mkt—

RBNY to score in both halves28%+253fair—mkt—

CLT v CLB CLB

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.552%-108fair-134mkt-5.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+184fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half22%+365fair—mkt—

CLT to score in both halves28%+261fair—mkt—

CLB to score in both halves21%+375fair—mkt—

HOU v LA

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.554%-118fair-137mkt-3.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+172fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half22%+351fair—mkt—

HOU to score in both halves32%+217fair—mkt—

LA to score in both halves20%+409fair—mkt—

NSH v MIA MIA

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.567%-203fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+117fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half30%+239fair—mkt—

NSH to score in both halves35%+186fair—mkt—

MIA to score in both halves31%+223fair—mkt—

COL v SKC SKC

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.560%-151fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half23%+339fair—mkt—

COL to score in both halves42%+141fair—mkt—

SKC to score in both halves16%+537fair—mkt—

RSL v MIN MIN

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.558%-136fair-143mkt-1.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+155fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half24%+313fair—mkt—

RSL to score in both halves32%+217fair—mkt—

MIN to score in both halves23%+329fair—mkt—

SJ v STL STL

FT · 1–3

Goal count · Over 2.567%-207fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+116fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half29%+245fair—mkt—

SJ to score in both halves40%+151fair—mkt—

STL to score in both halves26%+281fair—mkt—

LAFC v SD

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.563%-173fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+131fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half26%+286fair—mkt—

LAFC to score in both halves40%+149fair—mkt—

SD to score in both halves21%+377fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).