MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 16

NYC v PHI PHI

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.556%-129fair-135mkt-1.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+162fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half24%+323fair—mkt—

NYC to score in both halves30%+235fair—mkt—

PHI to score in both halves24%+325fair—mkt—

CHI v POR POR

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.569%-227fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+109fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half30%+236fair—mkt—

CHI to score in both halves43%+133fair—mkt—

POR to score in both halves26%+290fair—mkt—

ATX v DAL DAL

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair-138mkt+1.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half25%+295fair—mkt—

ATX to score in both halves25%+306fair—mkt—

DAL to score in both halves33%+206fair—mkt—

SEA v VAN VAN

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.562%-164fair-145mkt+3.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+136fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half26%+278fair—mkt—

SEA to score in both halves25%+297fair—mkt—

VAN to score in both halves35%+188fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).