MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 23

NE v NYC NYC

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.559%-145fair-123mkt+4.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+148fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half25%+299fair—mkt—

NE to score in both halves32%+216fair—mkt—

NYC to score in both halves25%+301fair—mkt—

ATL v SKC SKC

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.561%-159fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half25%+305fair—mkt—

ATL to score in both halves39%+155fair—mkt—

SKC to score in both halves19%+414fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).