MLS Team Props
Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, August 22
CLT v DC
FT · 3–1
Goal count · Over 2.564%-181fair-140mkt+6.0%
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+127fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half27%+267fair—mkt—
CLT to score in both halves38%+161fair—mkt—
DC to score in both halves24%+314fair—mkt—
MIA v TOR
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.570%-234fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+107fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half28%+253fair—mkt—
MIA to score in both halves48%+108fair—mkt—
TOR to score in both halves21%+381fair—mkt—
MTL v LA
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.563%-171fair-143mkt+4.2%
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+132fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half27%+271fair—mkt—
MTL to score in both halves35%+183fair—mkt—
LA to score in both halves26%+289fair—mkt—
RBNY v CHI
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.569%-228fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+108fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half31%+222fair—mkt—
RBNY to score in both halves34%+195fair—mkt—
CHI to score in both halves35%+184fair—mkt—
ORL v RSL
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.569%-225fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+109fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half31%+227fair—mkt—
ORL to score in both halves39%+157fair—mkt—
RSL to score in both halves30%+237fair—mkt—
CIN v SEA
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.567%-207fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+115fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half29%+240fair—mkt—
CIN to score in both halves38%+163fair—mkt—
SEA to score in both halves28%+253fair—mkt—
NSH v CLB
FT · 3–2
Goal count · Over 2.551%-103fair-119mkt-3.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+191fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half21%+384fair—mkt—
NSH to score in both halves29%+245fair—mkt—
CLB to score in both halves19%+436fair—mkt—
STL v HOU
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.546%+116fair-112mkt-6.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.532%+217fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half19%+433fair—mkt—
STL to score in both halves26%+279fair—mkt—
HOU to score in both halves17%+491fair—mkt—
ATX v PHI
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.563%-168fair-140mkt+4.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+134fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half27%+276fair—mkt—
ATX to score in both halves25%+307fair—mkt—
PHI to score in both halves36%+179fair—mkt—
VAN v DAL
FT · 5–0
Goal count · Over 2.564%-176fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+130fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+298fair—mkt—
VAN to score in both halves43%+133fair—mkt—
DAL to score in both halves18%+444fair—mkt—
SJ v MIN
FT · 1–5
Goal count · Over 2.566%-194fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+121fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half29%+250fair—mkt—
SJ to score in both halves37%+171fair—mkt—
MIN to score in both halves28%+263fair—mkt—
LAFC v POR
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.562%-162fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+137fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half26%+288fair—mkt—
LAFC to score in both halves37%+169fair—mkt—
POR to score in both halves22%+348fair—mkt—
SD v COL
FT · 3–0
Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+292fair—mkt—
SD to score in both halves32%+216fair—mkt—
COL to score in both halves26%+289fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).