Champions League Match Board — Tuesday, March 4, 2025
Every Champions League match on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Tuesday, March 4
MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–7
PSV Eindhovenvs
ArsenalPhilips Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Paramount+
FT · 2–1
Real Madridvs
Atlético MadridEstadio Bernabéu · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Paramount+
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).