MatchWiz
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Champions League Match Board — Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Every Champions League match on Tuesday, September 16, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Tuesday, September 16

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–2
ATHAthletic ClubvsARSArsenal

San Mamés · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 1–3
PSVPSV EindhovenvsUSGUnion St.-Gilloise

Philips Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+
FT · 2–3
SLBBenficavsQARFK Qarabag

Estádio da Luz · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+
FT · 4–4
JUVJuventusvsDORBorussia Dortmund

Allianz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 2–1
RMAReal MadridvsOLMMarseille

Santiago Bernabéu · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 1–0
TOTTottenham HotspurvsVILVillarreal

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).