Champions League Match Board — Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Every Champions League match on Wednesday, November 5, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Wednesday, November 5

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 2–2

FK Qarabagvs CHE

Chelsea

Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 1–0

Pafosvs

Villarreal

Alphamega Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–3

Ajax Amsterdamvs GAL

Galatasaray

Johan Cruijff Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–1

Benficavs

Bayer Leverkusen

Estádio da Luz · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+

FT · 3–3

Club Bruggevs BAR

Barcelona

Jan Breydel Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–1

Internazionalevs KAI

Kairat Almaty

San Siro · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 4–1

Manchester Cityvs DOR

Borussia Dortmund

Etihad Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–1

Marseillevs ATA

Atalanta

Stade Vélodrome · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–0

Newcastle Unitedvs ATH

Athletic Club

St. James' Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).