Champions League Match Board — Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Every Champions League match on Wednesday, December 10, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Wednesday, December 10

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 2–4

FK Qarabagvs AJA

Ajax Amsterdam

Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–3

Villarrealvs KBH

F.C. København

Estadio de la Cerámica · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–0

Athletic Clubvs PSG

Paris Saint-Germain

San Mamés · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–2

Bayer Leverkusenvs NEW

Newcastle United

BayArena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+

FT · 2–0

Benficavs

Napoli

Estádio da Luz · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–2

Borussia Dortmundvs BODO

Bodo/Glimt

Signal Iduna Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–3

Club Bruggevs ARS

Arsenal

Jan Breydel Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–0

Juventusvs PAF

Pafos

Allianz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 1–2

Real Madridvs MNC

Manchester City

Santiago Bernabéu · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).