Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Top doubles spot: Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers (SF) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Nick Lodolo. The lefty is driving the ball at .037 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .107 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Nick Lodolo has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .182 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 6 career PA against Nick Lodolo, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) (100) vs LHP MacKenzie Gore: an elite bat at .110 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.079).
- Ryan Jeffers (MIN) (100) vs RHP J.T. Ginn: an elite bat at .062 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.080).
- Zach Neto (LAA) (98) vs LHP Joey Cantillo: an elite bat at .062 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.035), hot bat.
- Alika Williams (ATH) (94) vs LHP Connor Prielipp: an elite bat at .077 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.086).
- Randy Arozarena (SEA) (93) vs LHP Jesús Luzardo: a solid bat at .047 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.128), due to bounce back.
- Luis Arraez (PHI) (93) vs RHP Bryan Woo: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.095).
- Alan Roden (MIN) (90) vs RHP J.T. Ginn: an elite bat at .069 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.136).
Platoon edges to target
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .118 against lefties this year.
- Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .050 against lefties this year.
- Alika Williams (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .103 against lefties this year.
- Randy Arozarena (SEA) — righty bat vs LHP, .049 against lefties this year.
- Luis Arraez (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .054 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Zach Neto (LAA), Jonny DeLuca (TB), Jose Fernandez (AZ), Seiya Suzuki (CHC), Michael Harris II (ATL), and Cal Raleigh (SEA). Cold but due to bounce back: Randy Arozarena (SEA), Taylor Ward (SEA), Brett Callahan (DET), Colt Keith (DET), and Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC).
How it played out
2 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Rafael Devers finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.