Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Thursday, August 27, 2026
Top doubles spot: Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto (TOR) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. The righty is driving the ball at .059 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .313 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 8% of his trips. And Noah Cameron has been tough to drive against lefties lately — .000 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Noah Cameron. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (100) vs RHP Landen Roupp: an elite bat at .068 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- José Fermín (STL) (92) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm prone to extra-base damage from the same side (.049), due to bounce back.
- Troy Johnston (COL) (85) vs RHP Jake Irvin: an elite bat at .067 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.073).
- Pete Alonso (BAL) (84) vs RHP Gordon Graceffo: a solid bat at .042 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.118).
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (83) vs LHP Sean Manaea: an elite bat at .065 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.026), hot bat.
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (83) vs RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto: an elite bat at .067 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.097).
- CJ Abrams (WSH) (78) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: a strong bat at .049 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Kazuma Okamoto (TOR) — righty bat vs LHP, .059 against lefties this year.
- José Fermín (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .067 against lefties this year.
- Troy Johnston (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .081 against righties this year.
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .114 against lefties this year.
- Michael Harris II (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .060 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Andrew Vaughn (MIL), Connor Norby (COL), Jake McCarthy (COL), Luis Lara (MIL), Alec Burleson (STL), and Carson Benge (NYM). Cold but due to bounce back: Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), José Fermín (STL), CJ Abrams (WSH), Miguel Rojas (LAD), and Zac Veen (COL).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Kazuma Okamoto finished with 1 double. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.