Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, July 19, 2026 Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, July 19, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
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PROJ Some lineups aren't official yet — 30 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
# Pitcher · Matchup Score
1
Ryan Johnson⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs DET lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 24.7% Hits / BF vs LHB 24.6%
vs RHB 23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 17.9 BF Expected batters faced 17.9
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.2 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.1% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Matt Vierling (R) 20.9% 2.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L) 22.4% 2.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R) 21.9% 2.0
4. Spencer Torkelson (R) 20.2% 2.0
5. Riley Greene (L) 24.1% 2.0
6. Eduardo Valencia (R) 22.4% 2.0
7. Hao-Yu Lee (R) 22.7% 2.0
8. Ben Malgeri (R) 22.0% 2.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L) 22.1% 1.9
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under BOV Bovada +120 -160
DK DraftKings +119 -158
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Ryan Johnson's full player page → 2
Grant Holmes⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs TEX lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.3% Hits / BF vs LHB 21.8%
vs RHB 21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 20.2 BF Expected batters faced 20.2
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.2 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.9% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Joc Pederson (L) 20.9% 3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R) 22.4% 3.0
3. Josh Jung (R) 23.3% 2.2
4. Brandon Nimmo (L) 21.4% 2.0
5. Jake Burger (R) 21.6% 2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R) 22.4% 2.0
7. Evan Carter (L) 21.1% 2.0
8. Nicky Lopez (L) 22.4% 2.0
9. Kyle Higashioka (R) 21.5% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +105 -145
FAN Fanatics +115 -165
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Grant Holmes's full player page → 3
Trey Yesavage⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CWS lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 18.3% Hits / BF vs LHB 18.3%
vs RHB 20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.9 BF Expected batters faced 22.9
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Sam Antonacci (L) 23.6% 3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L) 21.9% 3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R) 20.5% 3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L) 20.7% 3.0
5. Andrew Benintendi (L) 21.9% 2.9
6. Kyle Teel (L) 22.8% 2.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L) 21.9% 2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L) 26.1% 2.0
9. Chase Meidroth (R) 22.2% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -105 -125
BOV Bovada +105 -145
DK DraftKings +104 -139
FAN Fanatics -110 -130
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Trey Yesavage's full player page → 4
Jacob Lopez⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs WSH lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 22.4% Hits / BF vs LHB 21.0%
vs RHB 23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 19.1 BF Expected batters faced 19.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.7% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. James Wood (L) 24.2% 3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R) 23.3% 2.1
3. Andrés Chaparro (R) 21.8% 2.0
4. CJ Abrams (L) 22.5% 2.0
5. Dylan Crews (R) 22.9% 2.0
6. Harry Ford (R) 22.3% 2.0
7. Daylen Lile (L) 22.4% 2.0
8. Jacob Young (R) 22.3% 2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (R) 22.6% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -140 +105
BOV Bovada -135 -105
DK DraftKings -130 -102
FAN Fanatics -135 -105
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Jacob Lopez's full player page → 5
Eury Pérez⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs MIL lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 19.4% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.4%
vs RHB 20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.5 BF Expected batters faced 21.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.8% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Christian Yelich (L) 22.2% 3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R) 23.4% 3.0
3. Jake Bauers (L) 20.2% 3.0
4. William Contreras (R) 22.7% 2.5
5. Garrett Mitchell (L) 24.3% 2.0
6. Luis Lara (L) 23.0% 2.0
7. Cooper Pratt (R) 23.5% 2.0
8. Braden Shewmake (L) 24.5% 2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R) 21.6% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +100 -135
BOV Bovada +110 -150
DK DraftKings +110 -147
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Eury Pérez's full player page → 6
Hunter Brown⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs BAL lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 20.2% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.9%
vs RHB 21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.2 BF Expected batters faced 22.2
From recent starts 7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.6% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Adley Rutschman (L) 20.6% 3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L) 22.9% 3.0
3. Taylor Ward (R) 20.5% 3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R) 22.2% 3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L) 20.7% 2.2
6. Dylan Beavers (L) 22.5% 2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L) 20.4% 2.0
8. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 22.4% 2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L) 22.4% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +100 -135
BOV Bovada -120 -120
DK DraftKings -117 -113
FAN Fanatics -120 -120
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Hunter Brown's full player page → 7
Alan Rangel⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs NYM lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.9% Hits / BF vs LHB 22.0%
vs RHB 22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 19.2 BF Expected batters faced 19.2
From recent starts 5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.9% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Francisco Lindor (L) 23.0% 3.0
2. Juan Soto (L) 22.3% 2.3
3. Bo Bichette (R) 24.6% 2.0
4. Francisco Alvarez (R) 22.6% 2.0
5. Carson Benge (L) 24.1% 2.0
6. Marcus Semien (R) 21.1% 2.0
7. Tyrone Taylor (R) 22.0% 2.0
8. A.J. Ewing (L) 24.3% 2.0
9. Eric Wagaman (R) 22.0% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Under Book Over Under BOV Bovada -110 -130
DK DraftKings -108 -123
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Alan Rangel's full player page → 8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
RHP vs NYY lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 18.7% Hits / BF vs LHB 18.6%
vs RHB 20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 17.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.8 BF Expected batters faced 24.8
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.5 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.8% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Trent Grisham (L) 20.9% 3.0
2. Ben Rice (L) 22.7% 3.0
3. Jasson Domínguez (L) 23.5% 3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L) 23.1% 3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 22.0% 3.0
6. Max Schuemann (R) 20.7% 3.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L) 20.6% 2.8
8. Austin Wells (L) 20.1% 2.0
9. José Caballero (R) 22.3% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto's full player page → 9
Paul Skenes⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CLE lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 20.7% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.1%
vs RHB 21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 20.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.1 BF Expected batters faced 23.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.6 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Travis Bazzana (L) 22.3% 3.0
2. Brayan Rocchio (L) 22.9% 3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L) 22.3% 3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L) 20.4% 3.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R) 20.2% 3.0
6. Kahlil Watson (L) 22.1% 2.1
7. Gabriel Arias (R) 22.4% 2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L) 21.1% 2.0
9. Steven Kwan (L) 24.1% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +110 -150
BOV Bovada +110 -150
DK DraftKings +113 -150
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Paul Skenes's full player page → 10
Hunter Greene⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs COL lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 19.4% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.6%
vs RHB 20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.8 BF Expected batters faced 22.8
From recent starts 2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.6 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 23.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jake McCarthy (L) 24.1% 3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L) 23.9% 3.0
3. Cole Carrigg (L) 22.9% 3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L) 26.3% 3.0
5. Willi Castro (L) 22.1% 2.8
6. Troy Johnston (L) 24.0% 2.0
7. Edouard Julien (L) 20.7% 2.0
8. Brett Sullivan (L) 21.4% 2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R) 21.2% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +105 -140
BOV Bovada -120 -120
DK DraftKings -116 -114
FAN Fanatics -105 -135
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Hunter Greene's full player page → 11
Foster Griffin⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs ATH lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 20.8% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.3%
vs RHB 22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.5 BF Expected batters faced 21.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.7 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 23.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Carlos Cortes (L) 24.5% 3.0
2. Jacob Wilson (R) 24.8% 3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L) 22.3% 3.0
4. Shea Langeliers (R) 26.2% 2.5
5. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R) 24.9% 2.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L) 21.7% 2.0
7. Donovan Walton (L) 22.5% 2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R) 22.7% 2.0
9. Tommy White (R) 22.5% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5 we lean Under Book Over Under DK DraftKings +123 -164
We project 4.7 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Foster Griffin's full player page → 12
Cam Schlittler⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs LAD lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 19.4% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.9%
vs RHB 20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.9 BF Expected batters faced 23.9
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.7 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Shohei Ohtani (L) 22.8% 3.0
2. Andy Pages (R) 22.9% 3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L) 24.9% 3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R) 22.2% 3.0
5. Max Muncy (L) 21.3% 3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L) 21.5% 2.9
7. Teoscar Hernández (R) 21.9% 2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L) 20.8% 2.0
9. Tommy Edman (L) 21.9% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Cam Schlittler's full player page → 13
Casey Mize⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs LAA lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 22.4% Hits / BF vs LHB 22.9%
vs RHB 22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.3 BF Expected batters faced 22.3
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.8 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.6% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Zach Neto (R) 21.8% 3.0
2. Mike Trout (R) 20.9% 3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L) 23.7% 3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R) 20.3% 3.0
5. Josh Lowe (L) 21.5% 2.3
6. Jo Adell (R) 20.2% 2.0
7. Vaughn Grissom (R) 23.0% 2.0
8. Denzer Guzman (R) 23.6% 2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R) 19.2% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -155 +115
BOV Bovada -135 -105
DK DraftKings -133 +100
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Casey Mize's full player page → 14
Nolan McLean⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs PHI lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 19.8% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.9%
vs RHB 19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 17.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.0 BF Expected batters faced 24.0
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.8 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Trea Turner (R) 23.6% 3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L) 20.9% 3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L) 22.2% 3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R) 21.9% 3.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R) 21.1% 3.0
6. Brandon Marsh (L) 23.6% 3.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R) 22.9% 2.0
8. Derek Hill (R) 22.2% 2.0
9. Bryson Stott (L) 23.5% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under BOV Bovada +100 -140
DK DraftKings +102 -136
FAN Fanatics -105 -135
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Nolan McLean's full player page → 15
Robbie Ray⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs SEA lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 20.1% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.9%
vs RHB 20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.8 BF Expected batters faced 23.8
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.8 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.9% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. J.P. Crawford (L) 20.9% 3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R) 22.4% 3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L) 23.0% 3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R) 22.7% 3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L) 24.6% 3.0
6. Cal Raleigh (R) 21.7% 2.8
7. Cole Young (L) 21.0% 2.0
8. Luke Raley (L) 19.6% 2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L) 20.8% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -140 +105
BOV Bovada -135 -105
DK DraftKings -131 -101
FAN Fanatics -140 +100
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Robbie Ray's full player page → 16
Shane McClanahan⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs BOS lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 20.8% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.1%
vs RHB 22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.9 BF Expected batters faced 21.9
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.8 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Anthony Seigler (R) 21.9% 3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R) 21.3% 3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L) 24.2% 3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R) 23.0% 2.9
5. Romy Gonzalez (R) 24.5% 2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R) 21.2% 2.0
7. Andruw Monasterio (R) 22.8% 2.0
8. Jahmai Jones (R) 21.5% 2.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R) 22.1% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under BOV Bovada +115 -155
DK DraftKings +115 -153
FAN Fanatics +105 -150
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Shane McClanahan's full player page → 17
Shota Imanaga⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs MIN lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.9% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.8%
vs RHB 22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.4 BF Expected batters faced 22.4
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 4.8 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.9% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Austin Martin (R) 22.3% 3.0
2. Ryan Jeffers (R) 23.6% 3.0
3. Josh Bell (R) 22.0% 3.0
4. Victor Caratini (R) 21.4% 3.0
5. Brooks Lee (R) 23.4% 2.4
6. Kody Clemens (L) 21.8% 2.0
7. Ryan Kreidler (R) 20.1% 2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R) 21.5% 2.0
9. Trevor Larnach (L) 21.1% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -135 +100
BOV Bovada -120 -120
DK DraftKings -116 -114
FAN Fanatics -140 +100
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Shota Imanaga's full player page → 18
Ryan Feltner⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CIN lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 22.4% Hits / BF vs LHB 22.1%
vs RHB 22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.5 BF Expected batters faced 22.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.1 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.6% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Elly De La Cruz (L) 24.9% 3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R) 21.9% 3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L) 21.0% 3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R) 21.9% 3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R) 23.4% 2.5
6. Noelvi Marte (R) 22.8% 2.0
7. Dane Myers (R) 20.8% 2.0
8. Jose Trevino (R) 23.7% 2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L) 22.5% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -135 +100
BOV Bovada -130 -110
DK DraftKings -125 -106
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Ryan Feltner's full player page → 19
Eduardo Rodriguez⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs STL lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 23.5% Hits / BF vs LHB 22.6%
vs RHB 24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.6 BF Expected batters faced 21.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.1 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.6% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. JJ Wetherholt (L) 23.2% 3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R) 22.3% 3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L) 22.1% 3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R) 23.1% 2.6
5. Lars Nootbaar (L) 20.4% 2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R) 23.5% 2.0
7. Nathan Church (L) 22.9% 2.0
8. José Fermín (R) 24.0% 2.0
9. Pedro Pagés (R) 21.9% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5 we lean Under Book Over Under DK DraftKings +112 -149
We project 5.1 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Eduardo Rodriguez's full player page → 20
Logan Gilbert⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs SF lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 20.3% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.5%
vs RHB 20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 19.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.2 BF Expected batters faced 24.2
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.1 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 23.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Luis Arraez (L) 26.5% 3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L) 21.7% 3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R) 23.4% 3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L) 22.2% 3.0
5. Heliot Ramos (R) 23.2% 3.0
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L) 24.3% 3.0
7. Willy Adames (R) 22.1% 2.2
8. Drew Gilbert (L) 22.5% 2.0
9. Daniel Susac (R) 21.4% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -160 +120
BOV Bovada -130 -110
DK DraftKings -125 -106
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Logan Gilbert's full player page → 21
Robert Gasser⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs MIA lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 22.6% Hits / BF vs LHB 19.9%
vs RHB 24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.7 BF Expected batters faced 22.7
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.1 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 21.9% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Otto Lopez (R) 23.2% 3.0
2. Heriberto Hernández (R) 22.9% 3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L) 20.4% 3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (R) 22.8% 3.0
5. Javier Sanoja (R) 23.4% 2.7
6. Liam Hicks (L) 21.0% 2.0
7. Leo Jiménez (R) 21.4% 2.0
8. Esteury Ruiz (R) 20.7% 2.0
9. Joe Mack (L) 21.1% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under BOV Bovada -130 -110
DK DraftKings -123 -108
FAN Fanatics -125 -115
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Robert Gasser's full player page → 22
Germán Márquez⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs KC lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 25.0% Hits / BF vs LHB 24.0%
vs RHB 25.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 10.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.1 BF Expected batters faced 21.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.2 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Carter Jensen (L) 21.9% 3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R) 23.9% 3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L) 21.4% 3.0
4. Lane Thomas (R) 21.2% 2.1
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 23.8% 2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R) 21.3% 2.0
7. Michael Massey (L) 23.6% 2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R) 20.8% 2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L) 23.4% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -130 -105
FAN Fanatics -125 -115
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Germán Márquez's full player page → 23
Joey Cantillo⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs PIT lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.9% Hits / BF vs LHB 22.6%
vs RHB 21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 16.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.1 BF Expected batters faced 23.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.2 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 23.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jake Mangum (R) 24.3% 3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L) 21.5% 3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R) 24.1% 3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R) 24.7% 3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L) 22.6% 3.0
6. Nick Gonzales (R) 23.7% 2.1
7. Tyler Callihan (L) 24.4% 2.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L) 21.6% 2.0
9. Henry Davis (R) 20.0% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -120 -110
BOV Bovada -110 -130
DK DraftKings -107 -124
FAN Fanatics -130 -110
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Joey Cantillo's full player page → 24
Sean Burke⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs TOR lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.8% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.7%
vs RHB 23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.2 BF Expected batters faced 23.2
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.2 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.8% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Ernie Clement (R) 24.9% 3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L) 23.8% 3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 24.4% 3.0
4. George Springer (R) 23.1% 3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R) 20.9% 3.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L) 20.3% 2.2
7. Alejandro Kirk (R) 23.1% 2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L) 22.1% 2.0
9. Jonatan Clase (L) 22.6% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -155 +115
BOV Bovada -150 +110
DK DraftKings -147 +111
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Sean Burke's full player page → 25
Noah Cameron⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs SD lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.9% Hits / BF vs LHB 20.3%
vs RHB 23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.8 BF Expected batters faced 23.8
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.7% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) 21.6% 3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L) 23.4% 3.0
3. Xander Bogaerts (R) 22.8% 3.0
4. Manny Machado (R) 22.1% 3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L) 21.4% 3.0
6. Ty France (R) 23.8% 2.8
7. Jake Cronenworth (L) 21.5% 2.0
8. Miguel Andujar (R) 26.0% 2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R) 21.4% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -150 +110
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Noah Cameron's full player page → 26
Andre Pallante⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs AZ lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 23.5% Hits / BF vs LHB 24.2%
vs RHB 22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 9.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.5 BF Expected batters faced 23.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.3 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Ketel Marte (L) 22.3% 3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L) 21.2% 3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L) 20.3% 3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R) 26.3% 3.0
5. Max Kepler (L) 20.6% 3.0
6. Nolan Arenado (R) 22.1% 2.5
7. Tim Tawa (R) 20.8% 2.0
8. James McCann (R) 23.2% 2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R) 21.4% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Under Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -120 -110
BOV Bovada -120 -120
DK DraftKings -113 -117
FAN Fanatics -105 -135
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Andre Pallante's full player page → 27
Nathan Eovaldi⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs ATL lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 21.7% Hits / BF vs LHB 23.3%
vs RHB 20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 19.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 25.1 BF Expected batters faced 25.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.7 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 23.2% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Drake Baldwin (L) 23.9% 3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (L) 21.3% 3.0
3. Matt Olson (L) 22.4% 3.0
4. Michael Harris II (L) 25.6% 3.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R) 23.4% 3.0
6. Eli White (R) 22.7% 3.0
7. Austin Riley (R) 21.9% 3.0
8. Joey Bart (R) 22.2% 2.1
9. Jim Jarvis (L) 25.2% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -140 +105
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Nathan Eovaldi's full player page → 28
Sonny Gray⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs TB lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 22.6% Hits / BF vs LHB 22.7%
vs RHB 22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.5 BF Expected batters faced 24.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 5.7 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 23.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Yandy Díaz (R) 25.6% 3.0
2. Jonny DeLuca (R) 24.4% 3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R) 22.1% 3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R) 20.2% 3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L) 25.3% 3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R) 24.2% 3.0
7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L) 20.0% 2.5
8. Nick Fortes (R) 23.1% 2.0
9. Richie Palacios (L) 22.0% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +105 -140
BOV Bovada -110 -130
DK DraftKings -106 -125
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Sonny Gray's full player page → 29
Zebby Matthews⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CHC lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 24.8% Hits / BF vs LHB 24.7%
vs RHB 24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.6 BF Expected batters faced 24.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 6.0 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) 23.4% 3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R) 22.5% 3.0
3. Michael Busch (L) 21.1% 3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R) 22.1% 3.0
5. Ian Happ (L) 21.5% 3.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R) 23.7% 3.0
7. Pedro Ramírez (L) 22.6% 2.6
8. Dansby Swanson (R) 20.9% 2.0
9. Miguel Amaya (R) 23.5% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM -105 -125
BOV Bovada +105 -145
DK DraftKings +107 -143
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Zebby Matthews's full player page → 30
Brandon Young⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs HOU lineup
▾ Pitcher hits allowed Rate 24.5% Hits / BF vs LHB 23.8%
vs RHB 24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.5 BF Expected batters faced 24.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 6.0 H Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness 22.8% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jeremy Peña (R) 24.7% 3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L) 25.1% 3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R) 21.0% 3.0
4. Jose Altuve (R) 22.5% 3.0
5. Christian Walker (R) 21.6% 3.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R) 24.4% 3.0
7. Cam Smith (R) 21.0% 2.5
8. Zach Dezenzo (R) 23.1% 2.0
9. Lucas Spence (L) 21.6% 2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5 we lean Over Book Over Under MGM BetMGM +100 -135
BOV Bovada +110 -150
DK DraftKings +111 -148
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Brandon Young's full player page → Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, July 19, 2026 Ryan Johnson (LAA) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, July 19, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 4.2 H, with Grant Holmes (ATL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Ryan Johnson Ryan Johnson (LAA) tops the Sunday, July 19, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 4.2 H vs DET. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board Grant Holmes (ATL) (99) — about 4.2 H vs TEX. Trey Yesavage (TOR) (98) — about 4.3 H vs CWS. Jacob Lopez (ATH) (95) — about 4.3 H vs WSH. Eury Pérez (MIA) (95) — about 4.3 H vs MIL. Hunter Brown (HOU) (94) — about 4.3 H vs BAL. How to read the hits allowed board Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Frequently asked questions
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, July 19, 2026)? Ryan Johnson (LAA) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 4.2 H against DET.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today? The top projected starts on Sunday, July 19, 2026: Ryan Johnson (~4.2 H), Grant Holmes (~4.2 H), Trey Yesavage (~4.3 H), Jacob Lopez (~4.3 H), Eury Pérez (~4.3 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated? Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS? Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks. What the hits allowed board is The Hits Allowed board projects the contact a starter is likely to surrender. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
His hit-suppression vs this lineup. The park. Projected batters faced. Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here? Graded transparency — the market prices it well. A sharp projection, no posted edge.
How to use it Context on a starter's contact profile; research, not a lean.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays
