Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, July 22, 2026)?

James Wood (WSH) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Gabriel Hughes. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, July 22, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, July 22, 2026: James Wood (100), Dillon Dingler (100), Masataka Yoshida (100), Ketel Marte (100), Jacob Wilson (97). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, July 22, 2026?

No — James Wood didn't record a total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .464 against righties this year. Masataka Yoshida (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .353 against righties this year. Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .545 against lefties this year. Cole Young (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .395 against righties this year. Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .451 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Dean Kremer has been getting squared up by righties — .475 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Masataka Yoshida (BOS), Wilyer Abreu (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS). RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Mookie Betts (LAD), and Shohei Ohtani (LAD). RHP Colin Rea has been vulnerable to righties — .416 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Kevin McGonigle (DET), and Spencer Torkelson (DET). RHP Mitch Keller has been vulnerable to righties — .404 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ben Rice (NYY), Trent Grisham (NYY), and Spencer Jones (NYY).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, July 22, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/4 (50%) on the total-bases over/under, against 47% on the season.

Top call James Wood came through. Dillon Dingler didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 5–3

PITaway

NYYhomeTop matchup81 Final · 3–6

BALaway

BOShomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–5

SFaway

KChomeTop matchup88 Final · 3–4

NYMaway

MILhomeTop matchup63 Final · 8–0

WSHaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–15

ATHaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–3

CINaway

SEAhomeTop matchup96 Final · 1–0

STLaway

LAAhomeTop matchup80 Final · 10–6

MINaway

CLEhomeTop matchup81 Final · 9–5

LADaway

PHIhomeTop matchup85 Final · 0–2

PITaway

NYYhomeTop matchup80 Final · 4–2

TBaway

TORhomeTop matchup81 Final · 5–1

BALaway

BOShomeTop matchup64 Final · 6–7

SDaway

ATLhomeTop matchup70 Final · 4–2

CWSaway

TEXhomeTop matchup85 Final · 2–5

MIAaway

HOUhomeTop matchup87 Final · 5–1

DETaway

CHChomeTop matchup100

Not starting78 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 384 shownScore

193 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsATH· 2-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T1
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsMIN· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #151
3
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOUvsMIA· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
T3
James McCannC
AZvsATH· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T3
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsNYM· 3-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #247
T3
Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
BAL@BOS· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #253
T3
Dalton RushingC
LAD@PHI· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #300
8
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@COL· 4-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #8
T8
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsMIA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #14
T8
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@CLE· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #21
T8
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@CLE· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #53
T8
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsLAD· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T8
Spencer Torkelson1B
DET@CHC· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T8
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@ATL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T8
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@PHI· 3-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T8
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsBAL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #122
T8
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsMIA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T8
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZvsATH· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #209
T8
Jeff McNeil2B
ATH@AZ· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #211
T8
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@NYY· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #219
T8
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsTB· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T8
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@PHI· 3-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #256
23
Luis García Jr.1B
WSH@COL· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #11
T23
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #20
T23
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsATH· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T23
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #47
T23
Casey SchmittLF
SF@KC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #58
T23
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@SEA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T23
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@LAA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #63
T23
JJ BledayLF
CIN@SEA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #68
T23
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZvsATH· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #85
T23
Christian YelichDH
MILvsNYM· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #87
T23
Max Muncy3B
LAD@PHI· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T23
Luis RengifoLF
SD@ATL· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #135
T23
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T23
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSH@COL· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T23
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsDET· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T23
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsSF· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T23
Bryan De La CruzRF
PHIvsLAD· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #188
T23
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@TEX· 4-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #193
T23
Marcus Semien2B
NYM@MIL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #203
T23
Cam CauleyCF
TEXvsCWS· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #221
T23
Jacob GonzalezSS
PIT@NYY· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #234
T23
Brett Baty3B
NYM@MIL· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #278
45
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsATH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #4
T45
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsMIN· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #41
T45
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@ATL· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T45
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@BOS· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #66
T45
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@MIL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T45
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsMIN· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #93
T45
Josh Naylor1B
SEAvsCIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T45
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@BOS· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #137
T45
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@KC· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T45
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@HOU· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #152
T45
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #161
T45
Tim Tawa1B
AZvsATH· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #198
T45
Ian HappLF
CHCvsDET· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #204
T45
Jim JarvisSS
ATLvsSD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #223
T45
Michael Massey2B
KCvsSF· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
T45
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsSD· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #241
T45
Jake Cronenworth2B
SD@ATL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #245
T45
Brewer HicklenRF
ATLvsSD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #265
T45
Alex JacksonC
MIN@CLE· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #266
T45
Johnathan RodríguezRF
BAL@BOS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #285
T45
Jonah HeimC
ATH@AZ· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #286
T45
Taylor WallsSS
TB@TOR· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #301
67
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsWSH· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #7
T67
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@AZ· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T67
Rafael Devers1B
SF@KC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #35
T67
José TenaDH
WSH@COL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #36
T67
Junior Caminero3B
TB@TOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #38
T67
Zach NetoSS
LAAvsSTL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #42
T67
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsWSH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T67
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsSD· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T67
José Ramírez3B
CLEvsMIN· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #55
T67
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@COL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #79
T67
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsCIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T67
Jake MangumCF
PIT@NYY· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T67
Kody Clemens2B
MIN@CLE· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #89
T67
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T67
Willy AdamesSS
SF@KC· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T67
Riley GreeneLF
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T67
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWS@TEX· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T67
Tyler O'NeillRF
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #120
T67
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@SEA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T67
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsSD· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T67
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsSD· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #130
T67
Donovan Walton2B
ATH@AZ· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T67
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T67
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@BOS· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #140
T67
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #141
T67
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@BOS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #145
T67
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #150
T67
Keibert RuizC
WSH@COL· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T67
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsTB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #158
T67
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsCWS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #160
T67
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #170
T67
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@NYY· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #178
T67
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #189
T67
Dylan BeaversLF
BAL@BOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #194
T67
Edwin Arroyo2B
CIN@SEA· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #200
T67
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TB@TOR· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #205
T67
Zach McKinstryRF
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #215
T67
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsSTL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T67
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsSF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T67
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@COL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T67
Dane MyersCF
CIN@SEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T67
Romy GonzalezDH
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #235
T67
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@BOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #248
T67
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOSvsBAL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #255
T67
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #274
T67
Josh LoweLF
LAAvsSTL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #280
T67
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@HOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #284
114
Dillon DinglerC
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #2
T114
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #3
T114
Jacob WilsonSS
ATH@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #5
T114
Mickey MoniakLF
COLvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T114
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@AZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #18
T114
Andy PagesCF
LAD@PHI· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #25
T114
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T114
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsMIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #33
T114
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T114
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #43
T114
Justin Foscue2B
TEXvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #45
T114
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #51
T114
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T114
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsSTL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #61
T114
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T114
Francisco LindorSS
NYM@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #69
T114
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T114
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #76
T114
Taylor WardDH
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #77
T114
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #81
T114
Josh BellDH
MIN@CLE· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #90
T114
Otto LopezSS
MIA@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T114
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #96
T114
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T114
Brice Turang2B
MILvsNYM· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T114
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsTB· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T114
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T114
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #111
T114
Taylor WardDH
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #115
T114
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #116
T114
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T114
Tyler O'NeillRF
BAL@BOS· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T114
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T114
Masyn WinnSS
STL@LAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #139
T114
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #143
T114
Brett SullivanC
COLvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T114
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsNYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T114
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@LAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T114
Petey HalpinCF
CLEvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T114
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@CLE· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T114
Luke RaleyRF
SEAvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T114
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #173
T114
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsWSH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T114
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T114
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #184
T114
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@TEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T114
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #190
T114
Teoscar HernándezLF
LAD@PHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #191
T114
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@NYY· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #195
T114
Patrick BaileyC
CLEvsMIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T114
Oswald Peraza2B
LAAvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #207
T114
Francisco AlvarezC
NYM@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #208
T114
Carson BengeRF
NYM@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #216
T114
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #222
T114
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@BOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
T114
Austin WellsC
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #242
T114
Liam HicksC
MIA@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T114
Alan RodenRF
MIN@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #246
T114
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@ATL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #250
T114
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@TOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #254
T114
Nick AllenSS
HOUvsMIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #259
T114
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@AZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #262
T114
Joe MackC
MIA@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #264
T114
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #268
T114
Anthony VolpeSS
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #272
T114
Starling MarteRF
KCvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #276
T114
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEXvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #277
T114
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
CIN@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #287
T114
James OutmanCF
DET@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #291
T114
Josh Rojas3B
KCvsSF· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #293
T114
Esteury RuizRF
MIA@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #294
T114
Ali SánchezC
NYYvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #302
T114
Andrew VelazquezSS
KCvsSF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #304
T114
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsLAD· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T114
Tyler Locklear1B
AZvsATH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T114
Nick FortesC
TB@TOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T114
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@ATL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T114
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsLAD· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T114
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@NYY· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T114
Nick Loftin3B
KCvsSF· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, July 22, 2026

James Wood (WSH) is the top total bases matchup on the Wednesday, July 22, 2026 board at 100, with Dillon Dingler (DET) and Masataka Yoshida (BOS) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: James Wood

James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Gabriel Hughes. The lefty is racking up bases at .464 TB/PA against righties this year — and .667 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 45% of his trips. And Gabriel Hughes has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Gabriel Hughes. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Dillon Dingler (DET) (100) vs RHP Colin Rea: a strong bat at .458 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) (100) vs RHP Dean Kremer: a solid bat at .413 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.063).
Ketel Marte (AZ) (100) vs LHP Gage Jump: a solid bat at .417 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
Jacob Wilson (ATH) (97) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .425 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.364), hot bat.
Cole Young (SEA) (96) vs RHP Brady Singer: a strong bat at .427 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.364), due to bounce back.
Jake McCarthy (COL) (95) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: a solid bat at .405 into an arm mostly containing the same side (.333), hot bat.
CJ Abrams (WSH) (94) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: an excellent bat at .500 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Dean Kremer has been getting squared up by righties — .475 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Masataka Yoshida (BOS), Wilyer Abreu (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS).
RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Mookie Betts (LAD), and Shohei Ohtani (LAD).
RHP Colin Rea has been vulnerable to righties — .416 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Kevin McGonigle (DET), and Spencer Torkelson (DET).
RHP Mitch Keller has been vulnerable to righties — .404 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ben Rice (NYY), Trent Grisham (NYY), and Spencer Jones (NYY).

Platoon edges to target

James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .464 against righties this year.
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .353 against righties this year.
Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .545 against lefties this year.
Cole Young (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .395 against righties this year.
Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .451 against righties this year.

How it played out

6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play James Wood finished with 0 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, July 22, 2026)?: James Wood (WSH) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Gabriel Hughes. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, July 22, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, July 22, 2026: James Wood (100), Dillon Dingler (100), Masataka Yoshida (100), Ketel Marte (100), Jacob Wilson (97). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, July 22, 2026?: No — James Wood didn't record a total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .464 against righties this year. Masataka Yoshida (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .353 against righties this year. Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .545 against lefties this year. Cole Young (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .395 against righties this year. Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .451 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Dean Kremer has been getting squared up by righties — .475 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Masataka Yoshida (BOS), Wilyer Abreu (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS). RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Mookie Betts (LAD), and Shohei Ohtani (LAD). RHP Colin Rea has been vulnerable to righties — .416 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Kevin McGonigle (DET), and Spencer Torkelson (DET). RHP Mitch Keller has been vulnerable to righties — .404 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ben Rice (NYY), Trent Grisham (NYY), and Spencer Jones (NYY).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.