Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Thursday, July 23, 2026
Top total bases spot: Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Dobnak. The righty is racking up bases at .523 TB/PA against righties this year — and .762 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 46% of his trips. And Randy Dobnak has been getting squared up by righties lately — .474 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Randy Dobnak. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (99) vs RHP Shane Bieber: a solid bat at .390 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (95) vs RHP Griffin Canning: a strong bat at .443 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.450).
- Junior Caminero (TB) (89) vs RHP Shane Bieber: a solid bat at .404 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) (88) vs LHP Ian Seymour: a league-average bat at .334 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.842).
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) (81) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a strong bat at .434 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.385), hot bat.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (77) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a league-average bat at .355 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.385).
- José Ramírez (CLE) (74) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a solid bat at .370 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.385).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Ian Seymour has been getting squared up by lefties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Nathan Lukes (TOR), Yohendrick Piñango (TOR), and Ernie Clement (TOR).
- RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .422 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Yandy Díaz (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB).
- RHP Griffin Canning has been vulnerable to righties — .389 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
- RHP Randy Dobnak has been giving up bases to righties — .377 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Kevin McGonigle (DET), and Spencer Torkelson (DET).
Platoon edges to target
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .422 against righties this year.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .385 against righties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .278 against righties this year.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .406 against righties this year.
- Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .496 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
72 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.