Who has the best total bases matchup today (Thursday, July 23, 2026)?

Dillon Dingler (DET) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Dobnak. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Thursday, July 23, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Thursday, July 23, 2026: Dillon Dingler (100), Gleyber Torres (96), Steven Kwan (95), Junior Caminero (91), Chase DeLauter (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Thursday, July 23, 2026?

Yes — Dillon Dingler got 3 total bases.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .284 against righties this year. Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .382 against righties this year. José Ramírez (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year. JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .362 against righties this year. Brayan Rocchio (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .377 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Gavin Williams has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Byron Buxton (MIN), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), and Brooks Lee (MIN). RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .422 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Jonny DeLuca (TB). RHP Taj Bradley has been vulnerable to righties — .403 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Steven Kwan (CLE), Chase DeLauter (CLE), and José Ramírez (CLE). LHP Kyle Hart has been vulnerable to lefties — .383 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Michael Harris II (ATL), and Matt Olson (ATL).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Thursday, July 23, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, July 23, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, July 23, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on the total-bases over/under, against 47% on the season.

Top call Dillon Dingler came through. Gleyber Torres didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 5–6

SDaway

ATLhomeTop matchup74 Final · 3–1

MINaway

CLEhomeTop matchup95 Final · 1–3

TBaway

TORhomeTop matchup91 Final · 10–6

AZaway

STLhomeTop matchup87 Final · 3–4

KCaway

DEThomeTop matchup100

Not starting25 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 115 shownScore

58 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Tyler Locklear1B
AZ@STL· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #75
2
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsAZ· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #18
T2
Michael Harris IICF
ATLvsSD· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #22
T2
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsSD· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #27
5
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsSD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #17
T5
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@STL· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #24
T5
Adrian Del CastilloDH
AZ@STL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #37
T5
Patrick BaileyC
CLEvsMIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #42
T5
Isaac CollinsLF
KC@DET· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #48
T5
Ty France1B
SD@ATL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #53
T5
Dominic SmithDH
ATLvsSD· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #63
T5
James OutmanCF
DETvsKC· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #87
13
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsKC· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #1
T13
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsAZ· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #8
T13
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@STL· 1-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #14
T13
George SpringerDH
TORvsTB· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #40
T13
Josh Rojas3B
KC@DET· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #62
T13
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZ@STL· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #69
19
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsMIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #3
T19
JJ Wetherholt2B
STLvsAZ· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #10
T19
Carter JensenC
KC@DET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #15
T19
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsTB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #21
T19
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@TOR· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #23
T19
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsTB· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T19
Lars NootbaarDH
STLvsAZ· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #30
T19
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KC@DET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #36
T19
Michael Massey2B
KC@DET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #46
T19
Luis RengifoLF
SD@ATL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #56
T19
Manny Machado3B
SD@ATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #60
T19
Zach McKinstryRF
DETvsKC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #77
T19
Hunter FeducciaC
TB@TOR· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #89
T19
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@STL· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
33
Gleyber Torres2B
DETvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #2
T33
Yandy DíazDH
TB@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #6
T33
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #7
T33
Ryan JeffersC
MIN@CLE· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T33
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #13
T33
Riley GreeneLF
DETvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #26
T33
Tim Tawa1B
AZ@STL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #31
T33
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #35
T33
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #38
T33
José FermínLF
STLvsAZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #49
T33
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #51
T33
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #54
T33
Kody Clemens2B
MIN@CLE· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #57
T33
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #59
T33
Kerry CarpenterRF
DETvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #65
T33
Nathan ChurchCF
STLvsAZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #67
T33
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #68
T33
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #72
T33
Jimmy CrooksC
STLvsAZ· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #73
T33
Jake Cronenworth2B
SD@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #80
T33
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATLvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #83
T33
Freddy FerminC
SD@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #84
T33
Nick Loftin3B
KC@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #90
T33
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB
T33
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsKC· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T33
Alan RodenRF
MIN@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Thursday, July 23, 2026

Dillon Dingler (DET) is the top total bases matchup on the Thursday, July 23, 2026 board at 100, with Gleyber Torres (DET) and Steven Kwan (CLE) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Dillon Dingler

Dillon Dingler (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Dobnak. The righty is racking up bases at .517 TB/PA against righties this year — and .727 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 45% of his trips. And Randy Dobnak has been getting squared up by righties lately — .474 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Randy Dobnak. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Gleyber Torres (DET) (96) vs RHP Randy Dobnak: a league-average bat at .362 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.474).
Steven Kwan (CLE) (95) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a solid bat at .371 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.667).
Junior Caminero (TB) (91) vs RHP Shane Bieber: a solid bat at .417 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.
Chase DeLauter (CLE) (91) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a solid bat at .415 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.667), hot bat.
Yandy Díaz (TB) (90) vs RHP Shane Bieber: a league-average bat at .356 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
Byron Buxton (MIN) (88) vs RHP Gavin Williams: a solid bat at .417 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.813).
Jordan Walker (STL) (87) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: a solid bat at .390 into an arm tough on the same side (.250).

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Gavin Williams has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Byron Buxton (MIN), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), and Brooks Lee (MIN).
RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .422 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Jonny DeLuca (TB).
RHP Taj Bradley has been vulnerable to righties — .403 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Steven Kwan (CLE), Chase DeLauter (CLE), and José Ramírez (CLE).
LHP Kyle Hart has been vulnerable to lefties — .383 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Michael Harris II (ATL), and Matt Olson (ATL).

Platoon edges to target

Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .284 against righties this year.
Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .382 against righties this year.
José Ramírez (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year.
JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .362 against righties this year.
Brayan Rocchio (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .377 against righties this year.

How it played out

7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Dillon Dingler finished with 3 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Thursday, July 23, 2026)?: Dillon Dingler (DET) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Dobnak. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Thursday, July 23, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Thursday, July 23, 2026: Dillon Dingler (100), Gleyber Torres (96), Steven Kwan (95), Junior Caminero (91), Chase DeLauter (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Thursday, July 23, 2026?: Yes — Dillon Dingler got 3 total bases.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .284 against righties this year. Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .382 against righties this year. José Ramírez (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year. JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .362 against righties this year. Brayan Rocchio (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .377 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Gavin Williams has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Byron Buxton (MIN), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), and Brooks Lee (MIN). RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .422 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Jonny DeLuca (TB). RHP Taj Bradley has been vulnerable to righties — .403 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Steven Kwan (CLE), Chase DeLauter (CLE), and José Ramírez (CLE). LHP Kyle Hart has been vulnerable to lefties — .383 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Michael Harris II (ATL), and Matt Olson (ATL).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.