MatchWiz
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Premier League Match Board — Sunday, February 2, 2025

Every Premier League match on Sunday, February 2, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML8-3+12.2u
Over 2.58-3+1.6u
BTTS6-5−0.3u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 9 of 11 on Over 2.5.

Sunday, February 2

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–2
Match page →
BREBrentfordvsTOTTottenham Hotspur

Gtech Community Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

USA Net · Tele
FT · 0–2
Match page →
MANManchester UnitedvsCRYCrystal Palace

Old Trafford · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Peacock
FT · 5–1
Match page →
ARSArsenalvsMNCManchester City

Emirates Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Peacock

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).