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Premier League Match Board — Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Every Premier League match on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 27 of 30 on Over 2.5.

Wednesday, March 4

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 1–4
Match page →
AVLAston VillavsCHEChelsea

Villa Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

USA Net
FT · 0–1
Match page →
BHABrighton & Hove AlbionvsARSArsenal

American Express Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Peacock
FT · 0–1
Match page →
FULFulhamvsWHUWest Ham United

Craven Cottage · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Peacock
FT · 2–2
Match page →
MNCManchester CityvsNFONottingham Forest

Etihad Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Peacock
FT · 2–1
Match page →
NEWNewcastle UnitedvsMANManchester United

St. James' Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Peacock

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).