MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

La Liga Match Board — Sunday, February 2, 2025

Every La Liga match on Sunday, February 2, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML12-13+0.3u
Over 2.510-15−7.2u
BTTS11-14−4.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 21 of 25 on Over 2.5.

Sunday, February 2

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–0
Match page →
BARBarcelonavsALAAlavés

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 2–1
Match page →
VALValenciavsCELCelta Vigo

Mestalla · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 2–1
Match page →
OSAOsasunavsRSOReal Sociedad

El Sadar · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 2–2
Match page →
BETReal BetisvsATHAthletic Club

Benito Villamarín · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+ · ESPN3

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).