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La Liga Match Board — Sunday, January 4, 2026

Every La Liga match on Sunday, January 4, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 32 of 41 on Over 2.5.

Sunday, January 4

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–3
Match page →
SEVSevillavsLEVLevante

Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 5–1
Match page →
RMAReal MadridvsBETReal Betis

Santiago Bernabéu · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 1–1
Match page →
ALAAlavésvsOVIReal Oviedo

Mendizorrotza · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+
FT · 1–2
Match page →
MLLMallorcavsGIRGirona

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 1–1
Match page →
RSOReal SociedadvsATMAtlético Madrid

Reale Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).