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La Liga Match Board — Saturday, February 21, 2026

Every La Liga match on Saturday, February 21, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 32 of 41 on Over 2.5.

Saturday, February 21

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–3
Match page →
RSOReal SociedadvsOVIReal Oviedo

Reale Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 1–1
Match page →
BETReal BetisvsRAYRayo Vallecano

Estadio La Cartuja · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 2–1
Match page →
OSAOsasunavsRMAReal Madrid

El Sadar · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
FT · 4–2
Match page →
ATMAtlético MadridvsESPEspanyol

Riyadh Air Metropolitano · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).