La Liga Match Board — Sunday, April 12, 2026
Every La Liga match on Sunday, April 12, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 32 of 41 on Over 2.5.
Sunday, April 12
Osasunavs
Real BetisEl Sadar · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Mallorcavs
Rayo VallecanoEstadi Mallorca Son Moix · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Celta Vigovs
Real OviedoBalaidos · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Athletic Clubvs
VillarrealSan Mamés · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).