La Liga Match Board — Friday, October 9, 2026

Every La Liga match on Friday, October 9, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Friday, October 9, 2026 · how the model graded

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 73 of 77 on ML, 56 of 77 on Over 2.5, 73 of 77 on BTTS.

Friday, October 9

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

FT · 1–1

Proj1.0–1.1

Match page →

MálagaHOME31%1.0proj+226fair+192mkt-3.6%

Draw32%—proj+208fair+239mkt+3.0%

EspanyolAWAY✗37%1.1proj+172fair+175mkt+0.5%

O2.5 35% · mkt 49% ✓BTTS 44% · mkt 57% ✗1H O1.5 25% · mkt 32% ✓

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).