MatchWiz
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La Liga 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ELC
    Germán Valera
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books +700
    +5.6%MatchWiz +429
    ✗ 0
  2. 2
    Rafa Mir
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +448
    DNP
  3. 3
    Álvaro Rodríguez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +519
    DNP
  4. 4ELC
    Grady Diangana
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books +550
    -1.1%MatchWiz +536
    DNP
  5. 5
    André Silva
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +594
    DNP
  6. 6
    Aleix Febas
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +960
    DNP
  7. 7ELC
    Martim Neto
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books +900
    -4.2%MatchWiz +1242
    ✗ 0
  8. 8ELC
    Marc Aguado
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books +2800
    +0.6%MatchWiz +1354
    ✓ 1
  9. 9ELC
    Yago Alonso
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1578
    DNP
  10. 10
    Rodrigo Mendoza
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1759
    DNP
  11. 11
    Héctor Fort
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1990
    DNP
  12. 12ELC
    Víctor Chust
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books +2200
    -2.0%MatchWiz +3574
    ✗ 0
  13. 13ELC
    David Affengruber
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books +2700
    -2.6%MatchWiz +4101
    ✗ 0
  14. 14ELC
    Pedro Bigas
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books +1500
    -3.9%MatchWiz +4172
    DNP
  15. 15
    Álvaro Núñez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4239
    DNP
  16. 16ELC
    Josan
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4581
    DNP
  17. 17
    Adrià Pedrosa
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4981
    DNP
  18. 18ELC
    Matías Dituro
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  19. 19
    Iñaki Peña
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).