MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

La Liga 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ATM
    Julián Álvarez
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books +140
    -17.8%MatchWiz +250
    DNP
  2. 2ATM
    Giuliano Simeone
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books +360
    -1.5%MatchWiz +330
    ✗ 0
  3. 3ATM
    Álex Baena
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +575
    ✓ 1
  4. 4ATM
    Antoine Griezmann
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +580
    DNP
  5. 5ATM
    Alexander Sørloth
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books +105
    -39.5%MatchWiz +687
    DNP
  6. 6ATM
    Pablo Barrios
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books +750
    -2.7%MatchWiz +769
    ✗ 0
  7. 7ATM
    Koke
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books +850
    -3.1%MatchWiz +824
    ✗ 0
  8. 8
    Nahuel Molina
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +831
    DNP
  9. 9ATM
    Rodrigo De Paul
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +916
    DNP
  10. 10ATM
    Marcos Llorente
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books +1000
    -1.4%MatchWiz +1001
    ✗ 0
  11. 11ATM
    Johnny Cardoso
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books +750
    -3.2%MatchWiz +1017
    DNP
  12. 12
    Nico González
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1080
    DNP
  13. 13ATM
    Robin Le Normand
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books +1700
    -1.6%MatchWiz +1518
    ✗ 0
  14. 14
    Thiago Almada
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1534
    DNP
  15. 15
    Conor Gallagher
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2251
    DNP
  16. 16ATM
    Marc Pubill
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books +1000
    -6.6%MatchWiz +2745
    DNP
  17. 17ATM
    Thomas Lemar
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2816
    DNP
  18. 18ATM
    Ángel Correa
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3022
    DNP
  19. 19ATM
    Samuel Lino
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3090
    DNP
  20. 20
    Reinildo Mandava
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3152
    DNP
  21. 21ATM
    José María Giménez
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books +1100
    -6.5%MatchWiz +3250
    DNP
  22. 22
    Matteo Ruggeri
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3544
    DNP
  23. 23ATM
    Dávid Hancko
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books +1100
    -6.8%MatchWiz +3691
    ✗ 0
  24. 24
    Giacomo Raspadori
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3813
    DNP
  25. 25ATM
    Clément Lenglet
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +7750
    DNP
  26. 26ATM
    Jan Oblak
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).